NFL · resolved market
1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f8df0805eb0f56f9a6532713d35f23833c9639a94e83d7719f44dbf4c6a1f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Seahawks | 55c | 62,627$34,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,997.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Patriots | 45c | 30,048$13,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,531.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots | 44c | 25,202$11,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,088.8 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Seahawks | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Patriots | 44c | 20,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.98 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Patriots | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…de02backed Seahawks | 54c | 5,689$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…ce59backed Seahawks | 54c | 5,469$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…f656backed Patriots | 46c | 5,399$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…d64fbacked Patriots | 46c | 5,208$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Patriots | 47c | 5,000$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…0212backed Seahawks | 54c | 4,884$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…cc5fbacked Patriots | 46c | 4,850$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…4412backed Seahawks | 54c | 4,659$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…b558backed Patriots | 46c | 4,620$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…9830backed Patriots | 46c | 4,327$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…be7bbacked Seahawks | 54c | 4,257$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…c4d4backed Patriots | 46c | 4,158$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8c…0f78backed Seahawks | 54c | 4,051$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seahawks | 53c | 3,551$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.82 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…eac1backed Seahawks | 54c | 3,147$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…0e16backed Seahawks | 54c | 3,107$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…1ad6backed Patriots | 46c | 3,035$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…b2fbbacked Patriots | 46c | 2,963$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…cd68backed Seahawks | 54c | 2,937$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb7…1da9backed Patriots | 46c | 2,896$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…6ea9backed Patriots | 46c | 2,663$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…f6a5backed Seahawks | 54c | 2,512$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…02dbbacked Patriots | 46c | 2,438$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…c1fabacked Patriots | 46c | 2,420$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…15eabacked Seahawks | 54c | 2,378$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…724abacked Seahawks | 54c | 2,343$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…560abacked Patriots | 46c | 2,191$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190d…d1ffbacked Patriots | 46c | 2,178$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eff…2aebbacked Seahawks | 54c | 2,151$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…6f59backed Seahawks | 54c | 2,060$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…9e95backed Patriots | 46c | 1,885$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…385abacked Patriots | 46c | 1,840$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b3…5d25backed Seahawks | 54c | 1,836$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…6ba5backed Seahawks | 54c | 1,807$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Patriots | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…ca39backed Seahawks | 54c | 1,631$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…6db7backed Patriots | 46c | 1,623$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…bf37backed Patriots | 46c | 1,623$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…98a6backed Seahawks | 54c | 1,476$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…2591backed Seahawks | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Seahawks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Patriots | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…e424backed Seahawks | 67c | 624.95$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…f95abacked Patriots | 46c | 558.95$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Seahawks | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…9a1cbacked Seahawks | 54c | 494.26$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…af53backed Seahawks | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Patriots | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Patriots | 44c | 306.07$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f7…c1aabacked Patriots | 46c | 296.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…a569backed Seahawks | 54c | 285.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Patriots | 43c | 273.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Patriots | 46c | 265.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…fb4bbacked Seahawks | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Patriots | 44c | 210.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Patriots | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Patriots | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Patriots | 38c | 190.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Patriots | 44c | 188.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…1f1ebacked Seahawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…0afebacked Seahawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Seahawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Seahawks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…49edbacked Seahawks | 56c | 172.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seahawks | 67c | 156$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Seahawks | 55c | 134.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Patriots | 47c | 120.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…b033backed Patriots | 45c | 110.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Patriots | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Seahawks | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Seahawks | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Patriots | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Patriots | 28c | 54.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Patriots | 47c | 53.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Patriots | 45c | 53.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Patriots | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…fe0dbacked Seahawks | 54c | 50.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Patriots | 45c | 48.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…bb0fbacked Patriots | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seahawks | 52c | 40.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Patriots | 45c | 38.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Patriots | 44c | 37.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Patriots | 44c | 37.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x180b…c669backed Seahawks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Patriots | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…a0bcbacked Seahawks | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Patriots | 43c | 35.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Seahawks | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…2219backed Patriots | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Patriots | 46c | 29.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…80f9backed Seahawks | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seahawks | 54c | 26.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Patriots | 45c | 24.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Patriots | 46c | 24.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)Seahawks won
- AJ Barner: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- AJ Barner: First TouchdownAJ Barner won
- AJ Barner: Rushing Yards O/U 0.5Under won
- Cooper Kupp: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Cooper Kupp: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Cooper Kupp: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5Over won
- Hunter Henry: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Hunter Henry: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5Under won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5Under won
- Kayshon Boutte: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kayshon Boutte: Receiving Yards O/U 0.5Over won
- Kenneth Walker III: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kenneth Walker III: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Kenneth Walker III: Receiving Yards O/U 101.5Under won
- Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5Over won
- Mack Hollins: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Mack Hollins: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Mack Hollins: Receiving Yards O/U 28.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 10.5Over won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 15.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 16.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 17.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 20.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 21.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 23.5Under won
- Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5Under won
- Rashid Shaheed: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rashid Shaheed: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rashid Shaheed: Receiving Yards O/U 22.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: First TouchdownNo Touchdown won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Receiving Yards O/U 20.5Over won
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 56.5Under won
- Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 239.5Under won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 23.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 25.5Over won
- Seahawks Team Total: O/U 26.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylineSeahawks won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 22.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 24.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 27.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 29.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 30.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 31.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 32.5Over won
- Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 35.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.