TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks Team Total: O/U 17.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,631 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44d…935cbacked Under16c234.48$38 inLost-$37.725261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Under17c167.77$29 inLost-$28.652931%9 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Under36c98.11$35 inLost-$3540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under19c95.23$18 inLost-$18.095679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Under18c72.22$13 inLost-$132227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed Under17c64.7$11 inLost-$111553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f96…87f3backed Under22c50$11 inLost-$112825%7 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd4d…0839backed Under39c38.69$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb487…83e4backed Over79c27.25$22 inWon+$5.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d11…4021backed Under40c25$10 inLost-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3d…87c8backed Over77c14.29$11 inWon+$3.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5540…80f9backed Over73c14$10 inWon+$3.784100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.