TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,967,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,055,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,967,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA35c160,704$56,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,786.6564155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA24c148,288$35,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,814.221,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Dplus KIA25c140,000$35,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,599.694544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Dplus KIA8c132,470$10,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,853.8325547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dplus KIA38c61,408$23,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,011.245251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T174c57,849$42,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,839.6238462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed T174c56,580$41,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,767.286735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed T11c52,446$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.662844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Dplus KIA47c47,941$22,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,563.181,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked T172c46,702$33,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,774.4312664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed T160c43,597$26,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,173.3321137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed T175c41,142$30,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,856.3311750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Dplus KIA26c40,742$10,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,258.6510446.2%48 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked T174c40,000$29,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,6001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Dplus KIA25c40,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0009534.7%33 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed T175c39,915$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0002850%14 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Dplus KIA16c33,715$5,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,234.2766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Dplus KIA23c32,723$7,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,209.0921937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T173c30,829$22,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,549.959558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked T116c26,590$4,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.679333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Dplus KIA4c26,386$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,274.638624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed T110c26,051$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.718336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed T176c24,921$18,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,9404676.1%35 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed T179c24,022$19,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,072.558938.2%34 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Dplus KIA64c23,856$15,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,551.539741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Dplus KIA54c20,936$11,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,668.7136155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked T176c20,000$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2002429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Dplus KIA25c20,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,999.9413344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed T166c18,921$12,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,560.5148157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dplus KIA25c18,888$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,1661,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Dplus KIA8c18,744$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,269.6221536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked T167c18,348$12,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,27825751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd487…053ebacked Dplus KIA79c17,233$13,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.323655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA31c16,996$5,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,757.423,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…1aadbacked Dplus KIA6c16,772$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,707.88137.7%1 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T175c15,714$11,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,712.7921154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked T125c15,577$3,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,928.581,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed T174c15,000$11,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,128.127657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed T176c14,715$11,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,183.414839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Dplus KIA62c14,694$9,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,532.155757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed T174c13,749$10,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,189.6939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f28…9291backed T176c13,161$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dplus KIA24c12,500$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.9290348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Dplus KIA28c11,200$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,060.812850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Dplus KIA35c10,791$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,027.8523439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked T161c10,717$6,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,529.726541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc466…6201backed T174c10,584$7,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,832.164153.7%22 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x671f…328cbacked T174c10,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4006040%24 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Dplus KIA4c10,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60096048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Dplus KIA30c10,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9606552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Dplus KIA67c9,918$6,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.7667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed T176c9,850$7,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,48615148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Dplus KIA35c7,870$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.493764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA18c7,777$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,345.722,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed T153c7,752$4,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,138.079439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed T172c7,685$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.9349549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e3…e0dcbacked T174c7,400$5,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,476250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked T174c7,371$5,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,454.239238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Dplus KIA8c7,306$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,734.267549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf80…7783backed Dplus KIA26c7,300$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,401.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked T174c7,000$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,18049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked T174c6,522$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,801.0111358.4%66 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dplus KIA46c6,521$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.5725446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3917…32b0backed T142c6,316$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Dplus KIA54c6,293$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.1518961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Dplus KIA30c6,200$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.214041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked T174c6,094$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,509.6321548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Dplus KIA35c6,000$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90644550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed T178c6,000$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,69045739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Dplus KIA27c6,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3801,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed T149c5,822$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.541,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T167c5,770$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.191,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed T175c5,765$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.3131153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Dplus KIA40c5,500$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30016454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Dplus KIA39c5,320$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.223020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x385f…a21fbacked T174c5,274$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.881957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2127…4e8cbacked Dplus KIA25c5,232$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Dplus KIA26c5,230$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.1117537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eed…4e6fbacked T175c5,147$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Dplus KIA70c5,140$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.8225952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed T165c5,133$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe724…2072backed T176c5,007$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.325747.4%27 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Dplus KIA12c5,000$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,38544047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Dplus KIA40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed T160c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.65860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Dplus KIA24c5,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3a…2296backed T16c4,987$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.031533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed T11c4,962$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.815833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e1…ba0ebacked T175c4,848$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.9320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb2…4ea7backed Dplus KIA25c4,762$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+178.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf106…e879backed Dplus KIA26c4,643$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.482825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed T165c4,580$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.27169%49 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked T12c4,500$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Dplus KIA35c4,481$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.1118451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Dplus KIA32c4,432$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.032,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed T160c4,110$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.9821954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked T129c4,084$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20024326.7%65 W · 178 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed T175c4,082$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.526854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Dplus KIA34c4,081$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,675.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked T174c4,059$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.3318755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.