Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84b4ead57b2f0549f5a1a8b7759b4b6ce2145a7c5ba2a0fd038cb50e0573bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof T1, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed T1 | 31c | 1,290$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.46 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Dplus KIA | 73c | 1,063$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.37 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed T1 | 28c | 1,043$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Dplus KIA | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.28 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed T1 | 27c | 942.19$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed T1 | 31c | 808.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked T1 | 27c | 804.3$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 754.3$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Dplus KIA | 69c | 605.31$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Dplus KIA | 72c | 555.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA | 68c | 499.97$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 481.68$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Dplus KIA | 71c | 459.52$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked T1 | 33c | 349.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked T1 | 32c | 346.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 317.81$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed Dplus KIA | 72c | 301.27$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 199.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed T1 | 38c | 175.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Dplus KIA | 73c | 147.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…782dbacked Dplus KIA | 72c | 138.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed T1 | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Dplus KIA | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…efe5backed T1 | 31c | 82.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Dplus KIA | 31c | 64.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked T1 | 36c | 64.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Dplus KIA | 72c | 56.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked T1 | 47c | 56.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked T1 | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed T1 | 28c | 46.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed T1 | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed Dplus KIA | 75c | 41.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed T1 | 39c | 38.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked Dplus KIA | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 233 | 57.1%133 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Dplus KIA | 62c | 25.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…30afbacked Dplus KIA | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 3?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 4?T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.