Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe01ce0389d544b9b5fb2546f70d8e8ebc6ca3b5439d93a890126534e77515e26

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $394,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $276,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,673 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	28,437$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.05	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	26,264$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.31	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	18,849$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.37	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	4c	12,563$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.73	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	1c	11,447$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	2c	10,641$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.5	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04f5…a10ebacked Yes	0c	10,070$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	77	11.7%9 W · 68 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc64…b9f4backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes	1c	10,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Yes	1c	9,334$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.67	235	9.4%22 W · 213 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	5,377$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	16c	5,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Yes	1c	4,786$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02e…8331backed Yes	6c	4,564$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.5	106	10.4%11 W · 95 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf89…a739backed Yes	2c	4,226$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.56	107	15.9%17 W · 90 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	3,925$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.43	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	3c	3,351$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.61	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	28c	2,989$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.7	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	2,790$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.2	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd86b…1924backed Yes	1c	2,757$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	9c	2,705$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.15	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes	1c	2,640$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.39	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Yes	18c	2,500$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445	69	13%9 W · 60 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	3c	2,248$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.48	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes	1c	2,100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	127	12.6%16 W · 111 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed Yes	1c	2,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…54b3backed Yes	11c	1,812$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.47	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd30b…cf54backed Yes	29c	1,800$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.88	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d44…7ba3backed Yes	23c	1,709$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.31	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	2c	1,600$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x986e…88d7backed Yes	20c	1,520$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.21	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee35…6c20backed Yes	6c	1,512$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.93	78	21.8%17 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…1e0dbacked Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes	21c	1,492$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.32	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0874…08ffbacked Yes	4c	1,471$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.94	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Yes	36c	1,461$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-5.1wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes	19c	1,404$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.26	233	21%49 W · 184 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	3c	1,401$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	9c	1,371$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.46	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed No	73c	1,369$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.31	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	1,300$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.06	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed No	75c	1,243$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.25	124	29.8%37 W · 87 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	31c	1,137$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c3…1440backed Yes	2c	1,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	11c	1,048$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.83	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	80c	1,024$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	27c	1,006$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.16	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc1…6ad6backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdef7…217fbacked Yes	23c	999.99$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.18	50	16%8 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+96%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x423a…ec7cbacked Yes	4c	958.07$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a7…6e7dbacked Yes	2c	952.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	70c	944.58$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.1	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	75c	918.83$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.09	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	24c	890.11$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.31	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	4c	881.66$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.88	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	35c	870.1$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.06	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	2c	834.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffe…ce3ebacked Yes	33c	822.54$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.44	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb260…715abacked Yes	1c	807.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	65	32.3%21 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf667…2abcbacked Yes	8c	789.74$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.08	126	19%24 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c35…0476backed Yes	9c	763.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9480…a200backed Yes	24c	759.75$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.66	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	4c	749.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x195e…5b32backed Yes	10c	727.95$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.13	77	11.7%9 W · 68 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	6c	696.22$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x51ae…772dbacked Yes	21c	684$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.64	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e7…68e0backed No	68c	680.82$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.23	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…753fbacked Yes	34c	653.23$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.21	94	10.6%10 W · 84 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ca…960bbacked No	71c	603.77$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.88	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc35a…b9f2backed Yes	25c	602.52$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.46	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Yes	34c	599.99$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+6.5wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc723…7778backed Yes	21c	599.98$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	71c	599.97$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.99	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1488…e492backed Yes	27c	549.97$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.43	179	24.6%44 W · 135 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	71c	541.89$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.99	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	70c	526.13$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.46	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes	18c	512.28$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.43	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	17c	500.17$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.13	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbf…dffebacked Yes	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…53d7backed Yes	26c	500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd362…70b4backed No	69c	500$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.35per pick	45cpaid	+148.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bf2…45bcbacked Yes	4c	499.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3e…281bbacked No	79c	472.89$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.02	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x102d…c9afbacked Yes	9c	430$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.27	77	13%10 W · 67 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	5c	415$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	8c	399.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc419…e588backed Yes	26c	399.96$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.79	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb3…16e7backed Yes	20c	380$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	119	18.5%22 W · 97 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes	19c	371.41$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.59	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes	27c	357.24$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8669backed Yes	35c	343.12$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d1…083ebacked Yes	30c	337.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+241.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…24a8backed Yes	29c	310.65$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.57	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86d8…238ebacked Yes	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa2…bd41backed Yes	25c	299.98$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.38	161	19.9%32 W · 129 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7356…ce81backed Yes	28c	297.39$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.27	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-63%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c3…d002backed Yes	35c	284.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed No	74c	266.96$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.19	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event