TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,178 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under22c16,342$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,712.381,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96cb…688cbacked Over79c7,000$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,529.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Over78c3,247$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53015166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Under22c3,028$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.5243442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under51c2,721$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.193,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over77c1,814$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.5739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under22c1,733$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.081,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under24c1,670$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.1444335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under21c1,638$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29978050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7c…eb1abacked Over75c1,621$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over76c1,499$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6610652.8%56 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over77c1,375$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.5332752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under23c1,368$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.7612035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under21c1,205$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5559248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under21c1,143$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.9744743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under24c1,050$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.971,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf83b…55ebbacked Over77c922.66$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under31c795$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.822,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Over78c770.13$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc040…78f6backed Over79c763.06$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over78c703.62$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.5620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9723…ac5ebacked Over78c661.36$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked Over77c614.68$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4731070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Under54c601$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4640347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over76c600$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45824649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under18c599.53$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.0726144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c551.19$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.642,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over77c543.39$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41819244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over66c531.38$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5719648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under20c501.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.0310933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Over67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33521754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Over78c455.13$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551070%7 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…a151backed Over77c445.4$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.964257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Over76c420$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.213853.6%74 W · 64 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0093…be88backed Over76c410.05$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31017454.6%95 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over79c410$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.95740.4%23 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Over74c400$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2948948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under22c350$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27334250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Under69c346.87$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.264854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8247…ee42backed Over80c326.95$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1810960.6%66 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under29c320.34$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3914852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4b…ee55backed Over78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Over76c299.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.995347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb598…7d52backed Over77c282.66$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.65450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over78c269.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over77c267.53$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Over78c263.79$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d9…51c5backed Over70c213.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505062%31 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed Over77c212.05$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.283250%16 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10535223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Over79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15826865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…c6b8backed Over65c199.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4445…09a3backed Over77c199.88$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.911145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over43c199.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3211637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Over79c190.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.292560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Over79c189.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over74c181.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6520563.9%131 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8a…23d0backed Over76c171.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2230%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under25c170.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.631,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over59c170.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10092354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…ea56backed Over78c165.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.57520%1 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick71cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1199…7a6abacked Over77c134.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.621442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Over78c133.01$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7560855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x433a…38e5backed Over76c131.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006946.4%32 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009160.4%55 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027848.2%134 W · 144 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023752.7%125 W · 112 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Over79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005961%36 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Over80c125.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.478156.8%46 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b4…1bbbbacked Under24c124.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3c…a356backed Over78c124.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…3202backed Over77c116.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over52c115.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dca…4bc5backed Over78c107.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.412347.8%11 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick67cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over71c103$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4543947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over77c101.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.51080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…7155backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6515…3d8ebacked Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…9bedbacked Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204e…55eabacked Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766956.5%39 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c86…9f68backed Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e23…5531backed Over53c95.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under40c93.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.976530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under56c91.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.11,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c3…ad79backed Over76c88.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.041770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Over75c88.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.858347%39 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed Over77c81.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.12161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over53c77.34$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.256535.4%23 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Over76c76.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.95961%36 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over77c72.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.488355.4%46 W · 37 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under22c67.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5830247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3810…2d5fbacked Over76c66.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Over77c65.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5921266.5%141 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Over78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506966.7%46 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…96a8backed Over79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.