TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,769 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming12c2,907$349 inWon+$2,557.751,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed JD Gaming15c2,670$400 inWon+$2,269.544335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed JD Gaming54c700.92$380 inWon+$320.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Weibo Gaming46c689.24$315 inLost-$315.1650848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…6f56backed Weibo Gaming78c336.33$264 inLost-$263.89757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2502…02e0backed JD Gaming26c220$58 inWon+$1624736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming20c210.5$43 inWon+$167.551,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed JD Gaming17c172$30 inWon+$1429242.4%39 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked JD Gaming16c128$20 inWon+$107.523740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming20c119.09$24 inWon+$95.292,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb24…fad9backed JD Gaming54c111.42$60 inWon+$51.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa9e…3c9abacked JD Gaming13c105$14 inWon+$91.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+352.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Weibo Gaming76c100$76 inLost-$7611267.9%76 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Weibo Gaming46c99.99$46 inLost-$462339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked JD Gaming51c58.82$30 inWon+$28.8211145%50 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda86…6ff9backed Weibo Gaming55c54.66$30 inLost-$306931.9%22 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed JD Gaming33c54.21$18 inWon+$36.427728.6%22 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked JD Gaming27c51.86$14 inWon+$37.875135.3%18 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Weibo Gaming49c50.79$25 inLost-$24.8910933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Weibo Gaming50c39.8$20 inLost-$19.912450%62 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…f6bfbacked Weibo Gaming51c20.18$10 inLost-$10.29911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-64.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.