TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Weibo Gaming66c1,504$1,000 inLost-$1,00012653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked JD Gaming38c670.21$254 inWon+$416.215450%27 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming34c600$204 inWon+$3961,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Weibo Gaming46c593.13$274 inLost-$274.452,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming33c495.17$164 inWon+$330.961,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed JD Gaming33c435.7$144 inWon+$291.9244335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed Weibo Gaming67c373.9$250 inLost-$2503250%16 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming53c332.98$177 inWon+$156.232,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed JD Gaming39c261.3$101 inWon+$160.316346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Weibo Gaming61c257.72$157 inLost-$157.2140347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Weibo Gaming69c255.51$176 inLost-$176.1220150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…09afbacked JD Gaming34c249.98$84 inWon+$165.994032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Weibo Gaming67c223.72$150 inLost-$149.895740.4%23 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed JD Gaming35c214.29$75 inWon+$139.299420.2%19 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0071…f775backed Weibo Gaming67c200$134 inLost-$134728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Weibo Gaming65c138.53$90 inLost-$90.0510933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Weibo Gaming65c123.57$81 inLost-$80.821,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked JD Gaming35c113.8$40 inWon+$73.975334%18 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Weibo Gaming67c89.55$60 inLost-$6049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked JD Gaming32c88$28 inWon+$59.843740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed JD Gaming35c85.71$30 inWon+$55.714531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming35c80$28 inWon+$521,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed JD Gaming33c80$26 inWon+$53.61,11748.8%545 W · 572 L+40.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Weibo Gaming67c74.63$50 inLost-$505030%15 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3c…a356backed Weibo Gaming67c72.39$48 inLost-$48.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked JD Gaming41c66.92$27 inWon+$39.4521457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed Weibo Gaming67c61.04$41 inLost-$4117160.8%104 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming55c58.62$32 inWon+$26.51,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked JD Gaming33c50$17 inWon+$33.564846.5%301 W · 347 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Weibo Gaming67c44.78$30 inLost-$306966.7%46 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed JD Gaming35c42.86$15 inWon+$27.8661150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked JD Gaming33c41.99$14 inWon+$282846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed JD Gaming55c41.95$23 inWon+$18.9512157.9%70 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f6…c3a1backed Weibo Gaming67c37.09$25 inLost-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Weibo Gaming67c28.96$19 inLost-$19.43066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0235…4224backed Weibo Gaming67c20$13 inLost-$13.42454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Weibo Gaming65c20$13 inLost-$1354354.9%298 W · 245 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.