Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed49030d5879aba83b849be6f0e36f8830f2974fd0007f95d2e1c8c8b96aebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 39c | 46,718$18,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,394.12 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 61c | 40,874$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,873.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 25,228$10,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,082.41 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 17,345$10,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,903.59 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 60c | 10,300$6,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 60c | 8,201$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.51 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 41c | 6,808$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.03 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 40c | 3,129$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.79 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 59c | 2,543$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.53 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 59c | 2,506$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.83 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 38c | 1,555$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.9 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 1,401$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 38c | 1,225$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 38c | 1,225$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 38c | 1,224$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 38c | 1,054$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.6 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 39c | 769$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ce…dd2ebacked Under | 41c | 679.92$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 37c | 653.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 605.61$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.04 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 490.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 448.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 61c | 435$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd867…2d76backed Over | 63c | 417.46$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 28c | 403.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.19 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 45c | 384$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 335.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…75f2backed Over | 60c | 332.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 61c | 326.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 61c | 313.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 38c | 300.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Over | 55c | 262.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 63c | 254.05$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 61c | 247.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 241.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Under | 42c | 238.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 229.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 80c | 222.8$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 42c | 219.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked Under | 27c | 193$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 61c | 189.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Over | 59c | 176.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 59c | 175.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 42c | 170$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Over | 59c | 165.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Over | 59c | 163.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…f012backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7813…aa39backed Under | 40c | 151$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…b546backed Under | 40c | 148$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…f665backed Under | 40c | 141$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 72c | 135.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547e…87a6backed Under | 40c | 131$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 126$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 60c | 125.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7f52backed Under | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 48c | 123.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…3ed4backed Under | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…7155backed Under | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fb…0448backed Under | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 42c | 116.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 59c | 103.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Under | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 39c | 101.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 60c | 99.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.