TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under22c14,813$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,506.371,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Over78c5,382$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.2312045%54 W · 66 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over76c2,611$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.558336.1%30 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over79c2,122$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.94456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under21c1,690$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.0127447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under24c1,670$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.244335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under25c1,270$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.6225547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Over79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020649%101 W · 105 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Under51c976.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over77c964$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.3439749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3230…782dbacked Over78c831.78$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.61850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under24c578.03$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4850848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d9…51c5backed Over77c519.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005062%31 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over78c429.49$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33510652.8%56 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under22c409.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…46babacked Over79c394.75$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.513447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+58.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012757.5%73 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca7…b4adbacked Over78c372.95$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Over77c334.92$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8913857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Over77c325$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.255667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Over77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23121754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Over77c270$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.95961%36 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0d…e5b9backed Over77c260.78$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.83164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fe…8f90backed Over77c258.82$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-75.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Under50c240.58$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5824649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a14…fdf3backed Under20c240.11$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+152.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under22c236$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0814650%73 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over57c208.71$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5426144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Under25c206$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.512840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Under25c200$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15136246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564438.6%17 W · 27 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Over22c199.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419451%99 W · 95 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over77c194.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under12c163.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.64247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked Over75c140$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee2f…7677backed Over78c139.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Over76c132.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.575339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b90…3991backed Over77c131.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over77c131.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9435223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Over77c129.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.541172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019559.5%116 W · 79 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Under24c122$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.519752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4586…c643backed Over77c111.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…204cbacked Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…40bbbacked Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766462.5%40 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x671f…97ffbacked Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under24c99.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8754129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c98.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.282,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Over78c94.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4813154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Over75c88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Under24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under23c83.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.093930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0928…b9d4backed Under26c75.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Over79c69.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9979973.3%586 W · 213 L+45.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee25…5abdbacked Over71c66.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.493850%19 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Over77c65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.052673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502864.3%18 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over77c62.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488355.4%46 W · 37 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over76c60.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3721457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x801d…e649backed Over77c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Under48c58.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.573246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Over45c55.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8794134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over61c55.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8426154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over38c53.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.187028.6%20 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a36…74b8backed Over77c51.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.573246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ab…7311backed Over77c50.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398549.4%42 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x217b…a587backed Over79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3825851.9%134 W · 124 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d1…461cbacked Over77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51275%9 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under46c49.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5924356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…a151backed Under33c49.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.064257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked Under35c47.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.993554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed Over77c47.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.63966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Under25c44.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.91,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.842751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over45c39.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8644843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4632954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de1…916dbacked Over80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010360.2%62 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Over76c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68760.9%53 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048d…0351backed Over77c33.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b59…7155backed Over77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80f9…3ab9backed Over77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.121146%97 W · 114 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f1…1744backed Over73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…fb20backed Over58c29.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-80.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over40c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaf1…47a4backed Over53c28.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c9d…071dbacked Over44c27.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.421030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Over75c27.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13f…7682backed Over59c26.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.633850%19 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…886dbacked Under58c26.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48d4…1e34backed Over77c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.023756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011855.9%66 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c3…7551backed Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…f934backed Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…9bedbacked Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cb…bda8backed Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021847.2%103 W · 115 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.