Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970cf80412ad64375c5a073f8f894968d384541f6a3629eb4b80c690fec568f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof Dplus KIA, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Dplus KIA | 36c | 5,357$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.2 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 4,340$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.8 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked BNK FEARX | 64c | 999.99$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed BNK FEARX | 62c | 561.23$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Dplus KIA | 38c | 539.27$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…834bbacked BNK FEARX | 64c | 357.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Dplus KIA | 35c | 313.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dplus KIA | 32c | 67.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked BNK FEARX | 64c | 46.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…30afbacked Dplus KIA | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked BNK FEARX | 64c | 22.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed BNK FEARX | 68c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed BNK FEARX | 64c | 17.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed BNK FEARX | 63c | 17.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 3?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.