Middle East · resolved market
No US strike on Syria in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9adb01ed4fe93b43a7e58ee3877d3457a6454be3ef1ee84811046212d5386e17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked No | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +300.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,040$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,505$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.49 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 6c | 2,828$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…3ec4backed No | 35c | 2,715$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 15c | 2,689$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.62 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 2,201$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.51 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 69c | 1,242$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.07 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 25c | 1,145$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.24 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked No | 14c | 1,100$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked No | 33c | 1,007$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.45 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked No | 21c | 985.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.78 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 22c | 964.8$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.29 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…1e0dbacked No | 15c | 919.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.46 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 64c | 890.31$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.21 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…854cbacked Yes | 79c | 769.97$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes | 70c | 756.39$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 72c | 711.21$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.12 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…2d82backed Yes | 58c | 674.22$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…ce37backed Yes | 63c | 671.48$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 630.5$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.4 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 19c | 604.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.7 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked No | 37c | 600$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…4f52backed Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 79cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 67c | 599.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 40c | 586.69$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 70c | 572.27$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.71 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 33c | 510$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.48 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…d750backed No | 35c | 508.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 27c | 491.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 486.18$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.96 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed No | 19c | 474$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.94 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.46per pick | 44cpaid | +178.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 469.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.25 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…a309backed Yes | 79c | 432.69$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed No | 35c | 366.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +82%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 80c | 361.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…e493backed Yes | 60c | 333.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 48c | 291.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes | 71c | 267.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 44c | 265.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d34cbacked Yes | 77c | 260.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 260.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…afbcbacked No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…8fbbbacked Yes | 71c | 250$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 67c | 236.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed No | 20c | 225.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…5515backed No | 46c | 218.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 212.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.02 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 205$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…81b5backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 24c | 170.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 9c | 165.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…c16abacked No | 11c | 158.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Yes | 75c | 150.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed Yes | 80c | 140$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed Yes | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed No | 22c | 138.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +363.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed Yes | 73c | 132.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…2587backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 76c | 126.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 74c | 122.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 121.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…8aa8backed No | 20c | 120.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked No | 47c | 119.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…d730backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 103.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…7155backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0207…711dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…39a8backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…5222backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 13c | 95.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…77c1backed Yes | 80c | 93.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 32c | 89.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e6…6e0fbacked No | 15c | 80.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 28c | 79.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked No | 25c | 78.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 72c | 77.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 77.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…d5dfbacked No | 24c | 75.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…2726backed No | 20c | 72.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 55c | 70.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Yes | 68c | 69.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 74c | 67.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…1e2ebacked No | 22c | 67.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +349.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No US strike on Syria in 2025?this page
- Next US strike on Syria on December 13?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 14?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 15?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 16?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 17?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 18?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 19?Yes won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 20?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 21?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 22?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 23?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 25?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 26?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 27?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 29?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 30?No won
- Next US strike on Syria on December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.