UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490e24fd59dd314dc8d8437c140519b400508c7d5d12795ad42fba917be992fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leavittof Leavitt, del Valle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Leavitt | 23c | 87,027$19,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,081.54 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked del Valle | 78c | 45,000$34,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,899.95 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked del Valle | 77c | 37,421$28,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,814.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked del Valle | 77c | 34,416$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Leavitt | 23c | 28,350$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,829.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed del Valle | 77c | 21,069$16,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,222.76 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Leavitt | 22c | 18,180$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,184.35 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Leavitt | 23c | 8,957$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.89 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Leavitt | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…f85fbacked del Valle | 77c | 6,158$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Leavitt | 23c | 6,076$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678.22 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Leavitt | 23c | 5,953$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.29 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed del Valle | 77c | 5,137$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.42 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Leavitt | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed del Valle | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.98 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Leavitt | 22c | 4,864$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.69 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked del Valle | 78c | 4,234$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Leavitt | 23c | 3,184$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.38 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Leavitt | 23c | 3,105$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.58 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed del Valle | 77c | 2,857$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed del Valle | 67c | 2,726$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed del Valle | 78c | 2,500$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.33 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked del Valle | 77c | 2,257$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.89 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Leavitt | 23c | 2,087$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed del Valle | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed del Valle | 18c | 1,831$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.77 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed del Valle | 67c | 1,640$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.79 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Leavitt | 23c | 1,525$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Leavitt | 22c | 1,410$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.75 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Leavitt | 37c | 1,402$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked del Valle | 14c | 1,318$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Leavitt | 53c | 1,316$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.54 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed del Valle | 76c | 1,267$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.59 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Leavitt | 22c | 1,227$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.11 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed del Valle | 78c | 1,151$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Leavitt | 22c | 1,135$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed del Valle | 77c | 1,091$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Leavitt | 24c | 1,025$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.25 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked del Valle | 44c | 1,007$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.39 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed del Valle | 12c | 1,005$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed del Valle | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Leavitt | 23c | 999.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.98 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked del Valle | 77c | 974.52$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Leavitt | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Leavitt | 48c | 900.17$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.69 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Leavitt | 50c | 841.14$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.57 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked del Valle | 75c | 800.26$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed del Valle | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Leavitt | 51c | 680$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.4 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked del Valle | 78c | 641.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leavitt | 44c | 602.83$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.65 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed del Valle | 33c | 602.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Leavitt | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…8ce0backed del Valle | 15c | 563$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…e0dabacked del Valle | 54c | 552.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked del Valle | 77c | 484.9$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Leavitt | 22c | 480.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed del Valle | 77c | 450$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ce…978cbacked del Valle | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Leavitt | 23c | 435$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Leavitt | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…41d5backed del Valle | 62c | 412.15$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Leavitt | 50c | 403.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.78 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed del Valle | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked del Valle | 76c | 395.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked del Valle | 77c | 387.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked del Valle | 77c | 386.38$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.52 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…478ebacked del Valle | 78c | 383.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Leavitt | 23c | 375$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Leavitt | 28c | 362.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.89 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Leavitt | 21c | 332.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed del Valle | 73c | 325.65$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Leavitt | 22c | 315.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked del Valle | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Leavitt | 25c | 292.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed del Valle | 77c | 258.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed del Valle | 78c | 254.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed del Valle | 31c | 230$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Leavitt | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8828…c29abacked del Valle | 78c | 222$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Leavitt | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed del Valle | 78c | 210.45$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…e1d6backed del Valle | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…5067backed del Valle | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked del Valle | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Leavitt | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Leavitt | 23c | 191.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked del Valle | 79c | 190$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Leavitt | 23c | 156.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Leavitt | 21c | 149.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed del Valle | 78c | 148.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Leavitt | 42c | 148.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed del Valle | 78c | 146.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed del Valle | 73c | 140$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leavitt | 78c | 136.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ec…76ecbacked del Valle | 78c | 135.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…3decbacked del Valle | 78c | 132.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked del Valle | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked del Valle | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed del Valle | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Yadier del Valle win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.