TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,349 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c19,583$11,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,604.054,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over29c11,610$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.891947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c10,502$6,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,305.9669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under53c10,000$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.25850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over55c4,003$2,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.782524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under64c3,250$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.53762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over41c2,946$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.6450149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over41c2,748$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.6850249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under58c2,483$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.1611839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c1,991$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.31,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4052…0014backed Over38c1,633$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over6c1,492$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.515520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over41c1,256$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.1790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under44c1,131$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.3120843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over25c989.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.511120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under59c911.14$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.572245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over37c807.47$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4813728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c721.61$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.61,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under79c629.9$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.282958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over41c572.85$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.022,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over41c406.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8735148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16422746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over55c390.91$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…607bbacked Over62c360.73$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.56543.1%28 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over30c323.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.518236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004060%24 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over43c290.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Under38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.166643.9%29 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over19c247.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over45c244.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.758155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over45c243.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6211354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c37…ad47backed Over53c233.87$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c217.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.561,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c215.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1830842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over62c193.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over41c190$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.922638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over45c176.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under76c171.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6210843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31e…11f3backed Under49c162.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over44c157$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c154.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.891,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over42c147.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over55c130$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.53455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Over61c130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.32450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x965f…7e39backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under57c115.34$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under51c103$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.479336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4215344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425451.9%28 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c99.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9841147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under65c97.11$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1712152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under57c90.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under38c86.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Under43c86.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+90.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over36c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.258958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under56c84.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.284045%18 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0387…d134backed Over40c84.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.756349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over40c83.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3319258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over41c82.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbaf…842ebacked Over65c81.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880d…db9fbacked Under77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72b…0247backed Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over60c70.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4822553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over55c69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7817455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over40c65.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over38c65.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3597…775fbacked Over46c64.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Over42c64.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Under39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over46c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.45651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over62c59.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3717466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over41c58.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.924344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over39c57.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.392646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Over22c55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9813151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19cf…5636backed Under59c50.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…f39ebacked Under59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Over42c47.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209857.1%56 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under66c45.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over42c45.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.