La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90a44abcc74598a6714c744c3ae42a8dac2e938ec771082a1f3e5bcdf3caa5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,349 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 19,583$11,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,604.05 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 29c | 11,610$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 10,502$6,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.96 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 55c | 4,003$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.78 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 64c | 3,250$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 2,946$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.64 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 41c | 2,748$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.68 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 58c | 2,483$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.16 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,991$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.3 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…0014backed Over | 38c | 1,633$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 6c | 1,492$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 41c | 1,256$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.17 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 44c | 1,131$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.31 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 25c | 989.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 59c | 911.14$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 37c | 807.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 721.61$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.6 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 79c | 629.9$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 41c | 572.85$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.02 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 406.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 55c | 390.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…607bbacked Over | 62c | 360.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 323.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 19c | 247.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 45c | 244.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 45c | 243.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…ad47backed Over | 53c | 233.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 217.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 215.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…b014backed Over | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 176.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 76c | 171.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…11f3backed Under | 49c | 162.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 44c | 157$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 154.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 42c | 147.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Over | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…7e39backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 115.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 99.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 65c | 97.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 90.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Under | 38c | 86.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Under | 43c | 86.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 36c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 56c | 84.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0387…d134backed Over | 40c | 84.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 40c | 83.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…842ebacked Over | 65c | 81.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…db9fbacked Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…0247backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 70.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 55c | 69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 40c | 65.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 38c | 65.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…775fbacked Over | 46c | 64.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Over | 42c | 64.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 59.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 58.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 39c | 57.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 59c | 50.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Over | 42c | 47.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 42c | 45.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.