La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x478957a0ca2d012511705fece5ad0e5ae9bec7de416c81f45f1da56667bd9d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rayo Vallecano de Madridof Sevilla FC, Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,037 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sevilla FC | 15c | 2,058$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.64 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Sevilla FC | 14c | 1,202$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Sevilla FC | 32c | 407.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Sevilla FC | 7c | 212.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 66c | 203.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5775backed Sevilla FC | 34c | 203.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sevilla FC | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Sevilla FC | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…f7d6backed Sevilla FC | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 77c | 29.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.