TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,765 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No48c7,223$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.874,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6c…8f4ebacked No49c6,090$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes52c5,178$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.951872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes51c4,715$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.379640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed No50c3,459$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd248…3b58backed Yes51c2,540$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes50c2,463$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.4350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Yes48c2,310$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.171877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c2,242$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.162,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No48c2,200$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.750149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd462…eaecbacked No49c2,070$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Yes51c2,018$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730f…952cbacked Yes51c2,009$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.983762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Yes51c1,981$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No46c1,770$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.9711839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c3…d391backed Yes51c1,682$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No50c1,153$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.363330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5420843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes51c783.63$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9821641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes52c715.38$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.382653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes52c582.65$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.674445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed No50c572$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2866222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No49c514.41$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1713728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No49c500$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed No11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes66c499.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes66c422.12$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.016962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No49c402$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9822746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes51c392.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7410440.4%42 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No43c375.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.41,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes51c292.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9120148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Yes52c282.54$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.731855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes51c271$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7926550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…607bbacked Yes55c223.87$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.887354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084060%24 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes52c195.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2611140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.39558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed No11c160.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.429611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes63c157.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.144240.5%17 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes50c148$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.23464.7%22 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes77c129.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.946643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No37c125.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked No50c122.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9911546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0410152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes53c96.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3510843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dd3…7c5dbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910547.6%50 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed No49c88.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+90.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.927855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No49c76.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.678550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.319331.2%29 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No51c62.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.913249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No30c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.544424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No48c46.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.651,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed No34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c42.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.381,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes52c42.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes49c40.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5210461.5%64 W · 40 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa20…e7e3backed No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2059…e3fdbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked No51c38.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4627055.2%149 W · 121 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa506…f93bbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.469056.7%51 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No51c37.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211625%4 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes50c35.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9911851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2920947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Yes51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a4…e797backed Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd212…f0f4backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8511646.6%54 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2927…05fcbacked No48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c1…fa25backed Yes58c26.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.536544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.083342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes71c20.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.945651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87268.1%49 W · 23 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x35e4…5946backed Yes51c19.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.