TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof MIBR, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR50c4,997$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.9328541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked NRG51c4,368$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.373161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed NRG50c2,912$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.957456.8%42 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG41c2,783$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.4668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NRG37c2,711$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.4793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG46c2,365$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.3953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MIBR50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked MIBR67c1,766$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.562369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG39c1,741$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.0465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked NRG45c1,260$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR61c842.22$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.5970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked NRG50c804.22$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1636138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR35c686$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.551,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked MIBR65c592.11$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG35c582.09$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.091,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed MIBR47c542.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25528247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked NRG50c490$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked MIBR54c484$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9318241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed NRG47c461.62$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed NRG40c425.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.552263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked NRG46c416$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.646137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked NRG45c400$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6610460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ae…04b2backed NRG26c388$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick26cpaid+285.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG33c362.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.551,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0622…cbc0backed MIBR38c355.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed MIBR49c354.35$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked NRG49c341.14$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.371353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked MIBR63c301.2$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.422759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed NRG50c299$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e1d…0e07backed NRG20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked MIBR40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed MIBR77c235.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.33852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR17c230$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.091,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked NRG44c226.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5910743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked NRG30c220$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.81050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed NRG48c207$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1074100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+91.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked MIBR49c203.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed MIBR74c203.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15128151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed NRG50c201$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011225%3 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-56.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MIBR58c200.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168038.8%31 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed NRG25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed MIBR51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed MIBR50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed MIBR53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed MIBR74c186.96$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1321257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG53c181$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7766438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MIBR38c172.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked NRG50c172.8$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.87145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed NRG50c158.94$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.472050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked NRG37c156.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.29062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf916…6266backed NRG62c122.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d4c…41c4backed NRG62c119.87$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d6…4c63backed NRG62c113.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed NRG18c112$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75c4…4c26backed MIBR59c105$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecf0…0d38backed NRG45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed NRG22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7812540.8%51 W · 74 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d1…3d4cbacked NRG28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727716.9%13 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed NRG33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6718460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed MIBR24c83.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.152626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfebc…0194backed MIBR55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebec…f38dbacked MIBR80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked NRG49c60.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.77520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-59.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MIBR44c46.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1056…225cbacked NRG50c44.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…48d8backed MIBR75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d9…0e70backed MIBR53c39.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed NRG31c38.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7115255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed NRG64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7730…df57backed NRG46c34.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.532860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4e…9783backed NRG39c27.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc07…a946backed MIBR73c27.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…7350backed NRG60c25.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked MIBR50c24.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.988151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa550…d2e0backed MIBR65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee3…f07ebacked MIBR77c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc18c…63dabacked MIBR56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed NRG57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.616050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27bc…eb65backed MIBR80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eee…74e0backed NRG77c18.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.