TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa550…d2e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$285
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$63
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.6%+$10.07
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37.59
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.63
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$30
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.03
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$24
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$30
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+132.6%+$30.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$23.15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.43
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.7
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$81.18
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.