TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$483,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…965abacked Yes0c139,739$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.74229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes6c22,983$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.551,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes20c21,994$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.1858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes1c21,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes37c13,141$4,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,866.8317365.9%114 W · 59 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c7,749$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.131,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes35c7,366$2,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.881323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes3c6,123$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.82536%9 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes9c6,100$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54940222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes10c5,845$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4412344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes15c5,338$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.688647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No63c4,772$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.844450%22 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes14c4,612$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Yes37c4,054$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes30c3,748$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.641428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes2c3,501$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0210717.8%19 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes9c3,278$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.058146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Yes2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes10c2,940$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294608.3%5 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No74c2,716$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.228470.2%59 W · 25 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes11c2,690$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No65c2,656$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.753132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No63c2,381$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.852737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e31…72debacked Yes9c2,338$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…9310backed Yes9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes17c1,636$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.283050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c1,595$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No78c1,477$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.257834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No65c1,455$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.382181%17 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes10c1,306$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.78523.5%20 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes10c1,265$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.453023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No69c1,223$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8723637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…dbe6backed Yes9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1017…714fbacked Yes9c1,120$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd1…d001backed Yes2c1,117$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9917322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes9c1,095$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.224827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes17c1,019$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.673540%14 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7c…c954backed Yes43c1,002$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes10c1,001$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3505646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb5…b3cfbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a2…6abebacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No60c982.5$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3932445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No64c861$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No65c846.15$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1522054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b7…fb52backed Yes10c769.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes5c760.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.849123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a57…9299backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No79c636.64$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.699754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes10c630$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+201.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No78c609.37$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7116036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes15c578.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.022420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502425%6 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+118.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…1dd4backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+85.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edd…21f8backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No67c489.83$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.839550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes9c486.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.814650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes24c378.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.524963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed No67c369.94$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No72c351.17$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.112956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked No59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa44b…ca71backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…5d62backed No65c323.08$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes10c312.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes7c302.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30850%4 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+158.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305253.8%28 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305541.8%23 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes9c299.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c299$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6827236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cc…9b43backed Yes10c294.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c291.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4743427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes35c283.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.311743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No70c279$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.663953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Yes36c277.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c03…70d1backed Yes40c250.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253644.4%16 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+56.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.