Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a8e59962c096888f2eadb1f06d5bd0f679157d71aab328f7d4f1882fdd167d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 66c | 5,493$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.54 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed NRG | 31c | 4,980$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NRG | 48c | 3,416$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.78 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MIBR | 67c | 3,020$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.37 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked MIBR | 58c | 2,463$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.31 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR | 50c | 1,773$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.82 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG | 44c | 1,455$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.64 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked NRG | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…0e07backed NRG | 3c | 859.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked NRG | 64c | 805.8$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.39 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MIBR | 38c | 781.4$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.09 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…c092backed NRG | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed NRG | 59c | 470.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 51c | 470.35$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked MIBR | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed NRG | 9c | 352.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed MIBR | 39c | 350$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked NRG | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…8ad8backed NRG | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG | 49c | 272.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed MIBR | 48c | 272$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked NRG | 74c | 270.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MIBR | 38c | 262.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed MIBR | 40c | 213.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed NRG | 59c | 194$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed NRG | 27c | 185.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked NRG | 62c | 162.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked MIBR | 57c | 159$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 42c | 138.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked NRG | 49c | 135.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed NRG | 62c | 126.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MIBR | 39c | 107.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked NRG | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked NRG | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a2…f8b2backed NRG | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 33c | 74.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed MIBR | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked NRG | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed NRG | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed MIBR | 45c | 55.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 40c | 50.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked MIBR | 73c | 50.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG | 31c | 34.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…9783backed MIBR | 41c | 33.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked NRG | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked MIBR | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed NRG | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…a946backed MIBR | 43c | 27.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed NRG | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed MIBR | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed MIBR | 54c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked NRG | 56c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked MIBR | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 4 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.