Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4c6d6689b9f6fc282fd1e2d3740b9dde3b96a9d3b6add3e43f2825b76c43a00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof MIBR, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MIBR | 32c | 2,853$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.37 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 71c | 1,550$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 69c | 1,129$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.29 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…2bfbbacked MIBR | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked NRG | 78c | 586.74$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked NRG | 67c | 541.45$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MIBR | 33c | 541.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed MIBR | 14c | 499.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 70c | 477.43$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed MIBR | 45c | 182.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 55c | 95.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked NRG | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…7025backed MIBR | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed NRG | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked NRG | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed NRG | 77c | 14.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.