Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30947c4bd31eecd6976fe3c780daa5d9af60107b04eebab267f90bbe1e9d2a33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked MIBR | 61c | 4,923$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.48 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 70c | 3,472$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.34 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed NRG | 36c | 3,324$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 45c | 2,632$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.43 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed NRG | 43c | 2,338$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.87 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MIBR | 41c | 2,057$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.08 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MIBR | 67c | 1,968$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.68 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 38c | 1,586$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.07 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked NRG | 24c | 1,353$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.7 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed NRG | 1c | 1,170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 64c | 919.89$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.5 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…2bfbbacked NRG | 20c | 774.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 43c | 736.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked MIBR | 65c | 715.49$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…0e07backed NRG | 4c | 700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG | 40c | 523$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed NRG | 21c | 438.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed MIBR | 49c | 404.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed NRG | 27c | 400$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed MIBR | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked MIBR | 55c | 295.48$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked MIBR | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…57e6backed NRG | 43c | 241.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked MIBR | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed NRG | 26c | 201.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed NRG | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NRG | 53c | 193.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed MIBR | 48c | 140.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MIBR | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed NRG | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed NRG | 30c | 100.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…d6bebacked NRG | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed NRG | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed MIBR | 51c | 91.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed NRG | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ec…f993backed NRG | 41c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked NRG | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MIBR | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed NRG | 47c | 58.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked NRG | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 74c | 49.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked MIBR | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…9ed3backed NRG | 59c | 38.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MIBR | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed NRG | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed MIBR | 68c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed MIBR | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked MIBR | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed MIBR | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsNRG won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 4 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.