TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8eee…74e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+137.5%+$15.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+54%+$15.66
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$21.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.74
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+79.3%+$21.09
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48.94
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.59
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23.89
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.57
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.24
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+62%+$10.06
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.97
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.34
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.02
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.77
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$24.12
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.56
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.84
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 4 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30.99
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.3%+$17.77
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.34
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.3%+$17.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.16
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.36
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.98
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.02
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.2
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.42
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$35.55
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.