Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4fcd953518553c43da6b269e1e21889f98e993895c16b9ba64d75fe267be1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Over | 47c | 17,066$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,021 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 53c | 9,091$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.47 | 311 | 53.4%166 W · 145 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed Under | 46c | 658.63$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.56 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Over | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 42c | 309.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 46c | 249.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Over | 46c | 196.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…47debacked Under | 53c | 189.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 53c | 187.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…50b8backed Under | 54c | 184.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 526 | 46.2%243 W · 283 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Over | 66c | 180$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 47c | 163.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 39c | 149$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked Under | 54c | 146$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 96.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Over | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 56c | 90.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked Under | 21c | 89.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Under | 53c | 72.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 70c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 37c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Under | 53c | 37.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Over | 46c | 33.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…c75dbacked Under | 59c | 25.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1a6bbacked Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 54c | 23.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed Under | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 61c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…74e0backed Under | 57c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 69c | 15.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?DRX won
- First Blood in Game 3?DN Freecs won
- First Blood in Game 4?DN Freecs won
- Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DN SOOPers won
- Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)DN Freecs won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDN Freecs won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 1 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.