Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ea9fc6b7bffb29bdd5db8ecde8a895a55fe5343ecd687187a92b0bb2378b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPersof DN SOOPers, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DN SOOPers | 52c | 1,409$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.29 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked DN SOOPers | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked DRX | 48c | 1,152$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked DRX | 48c | 867.17$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed DRX | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed DRX | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked DRX | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed DRX | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed DRX | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed DRX | 50c | 95.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed DN SOOPers | 58c | 91.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked DRX | 48c | 70.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked DRX | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers | 33c | 36.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked DRX | 67c | 36.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed DN SOOPers | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?DRX won
- First Blood in Game 3?DN Freecs won
- First Blood in Game 4?DN Freecs won
- Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)DN Freecs won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs DN Freecs (+2.5)DN Freecs won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDN Freecs won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 1 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 2 WinnerDN Freecs won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 WinnerDN SOOPers won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.