TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN SOOPersof DN SOOPers, DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$391,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafd7…211cbacked DRX23c26,025$6,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.071741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed DRX46c21,190$9,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,793.3764155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed DN SOOPers40c16,791$6,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,146.479741.2%40 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed DN SOOPers53c15,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.9882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed DN SOOPers60c14,298$8,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,730.4348157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed DRX57c13,881$7,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,954.4525547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers27c13,818$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,073.181,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked DN SOOPers42c13,452$5,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,748.968056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe700…dc26backed DRX4c13,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480412.4%1 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-70.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed DN SOOPers72c9,467$6,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.985860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed DRX69c7,332$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,035.2214757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed DRX48c6,713$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.1581143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed DRX48c6,183$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.5243151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed DN SOOPers56c6,091$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.6267276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed DRX51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06013344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed DN SOOPers54c6,000$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7801,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked DRX51c5,673$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.0218755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DN SOOPers44c5,268$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.221,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0947…c1c9backed DN SOOPers58c5,005$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.584486.4%38 W · 6 L+13.4wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+45.1%equal weight72+0.19 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed DN SOOPers56c4,841$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.151,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9f…d2dabacked DN SOOPers53c4,416$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed DRX24c4,240$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.313355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6260…fed5backed DRX80c4,136$3,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,298.716660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DN SOOPers40c3,543$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.631,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked DRX39c3,443$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.4263352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked DRX25c3,146$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.4144550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked DN SOOPers40c3,125$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.541,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked DRX47c3,044$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41625751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed DN SOOPers73c3,000$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.5424065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN SOOPers47c3,000$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.831,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed DRX55c3,000$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.9948440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked DRX48c2,780$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.414041.4%58 W · 82 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed DN SOOPers54c2,761$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.784264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5f…8a41backed DRX52c2,756$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.9116040%64 W · 96 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed DN SOOPers37c2,691$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.061,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed DN SOOPers54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.31,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked DN SOOPers52c2,213$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.041,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed DN SOOPers62c2,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed DRX2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed DRX49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9985746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DN SOOPers51c1,980$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.21,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed DN SOOPers53c1,973$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.31,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked DRX2c1,925$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.066297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed DRX55c1,820$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009962.6%62 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed DN SOOPers55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1821954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed DN SOOPers43c1,800$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0261,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked DN SOOPers53c1,768$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.761,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…e42ebacked DRX52c1,713$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.65657.1%32 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed DN SOOPers46c1,634$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.3328361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed DN SOOPers53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed DN SOOPers49c1,397$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.7830139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03a…a061backed DRX2c1,342$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed DRX57c1,329$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.581,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked DRX61c1,295$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.521,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked DN SOOPers57c1,257$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4752062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed DRX43c1,256$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.0348448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DN SOOPers43c1,251$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.822,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked DRX1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed DN SOOPers53c1,100$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked DRX47c1,080$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.82,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked DN SOOPers35c1,001$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.5715731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed DRX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+195%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4431…f851backed DRX45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked DN SOOPers53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708360.2%50 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed DRX40c984.99$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.892,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed DN SOOPers54c978.3$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.021,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN SOOPers13c949.1$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.947869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked DN SOOPers49c940$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.495847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed DRX51c902.62$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.3626453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed DN SOOPers53c900$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed DRX56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50482554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked DRX28c899.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25220537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked DN SOOPers23c878.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.141,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc5…197fbacked DRX48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX56c830.82$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.263,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked DN SOOPers51c826.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.8478050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked DRX55c825.92$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.519743.3%42 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked DN SOOPers31c800$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked DN SOOPers41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47218244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc872…0cc9backed DRX63c800$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked DRX46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed DN SOOPers44c793.93$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.612356.9%70 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked DN SOOPers51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3146552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DN SOOPers30c736.26$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.71,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed DN SOOPers47c733.5$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8185442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked DRX56c717.39$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed DN SOOPers73c681.99$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3729856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed DN SOOPers57c671.65$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8112661.1%77 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed DRX55c670.45$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.511,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed DN SOOPers50c667.65$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7111243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed DN SOOPers59c630$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.784050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…f3efbacked DRX67c627.59$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.49435.1%33 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6560…b6ddbacked DN SOOPers71c624.88$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.85771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed DRX59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35442148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked DN SOOPers51c592.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.321,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7274…054cbacked DN SOOPers38c581.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.343330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…92b9backed DRX46c551.71$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3811948.7%58 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked DN SOOPers57c550$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23816349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed DRX34c539$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18428942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed DRX57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.