TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fc0…53ddbacked PARIVISION38c20,394$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION39c19,910$7,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,841.9823839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ61c18,293$11,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,134.3776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed PARIVISION6c15,677$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.553330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ69c12,216$8,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.0122468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ65c6,422$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.083,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed MOUZ64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed MOUZ61c4,402$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.952755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked MOUZ62c4,115$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked PARIVISION15c3,899$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed MOUZ65c3,559$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.692171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked MOUZ77c2,873$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.3413065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed PARIVISION36c2,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9916653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked PARIVISION39c2,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked PARIVISION39c2,457$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94610251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x866f…d410backed PARIVISION24c2,400$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5766521.5%14 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION39c2,194$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.971,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed PARIVISION15c1,883$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4419732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ80c1,528$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.341,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked MOUZ62c1,506$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.1921251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed PARIVISION38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed MOUZ67c1,499$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.569565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION39c1,278$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6973…5873backed PARIVISION38c1,232$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ75c1,185$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4858961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce7…cf71backed PARIVISION1c1,123$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked PARIVISION10c1,094$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-72.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION25c1,045$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.621,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda8b…3213backed PARIVISION20c1,041$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed PARIVISION13c887.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.071,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION39c850$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.437646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed PARIVISION36c836.69$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.2120944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION27c661.13$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.122,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed PARIVISION37c642.8$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4910335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1939…22e8backed PARIVISION38c593.52$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.5411840.7%48 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ64c500.47$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4722550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked MOUZ63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed PARIVISION39c499.08$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6414532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…300bbacked MOUZ79c488.82$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.651872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed MOUZ79c481.88$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.879364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed PARIVISION38c476.5$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0710739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION39c472.64$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.525,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed MOUZ64c468$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.482263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION34c458.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked PARIVISION11c445.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3732832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed MOUZ61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed PARIVISION20c388$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.617345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed PARIVISION39c385.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8129…5f30backed PARIVISION27c377.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed PARIVISION39c376.92$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1479152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f5…0044backed PARIVISION7c361.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.315244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed MOUZ64c333$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.889260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed PARIVISION34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10215642.3%66 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION39c292.56$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11435341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked MOUZ65c292.31$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.312850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked PARIVISION21c291$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca9c…1007backed PARIVISION38c278.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.962339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed PARIVISION6c250$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.524440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked MOUZ64c239.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ65c223.16$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0526046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x464b…06f5backed PARIVISION36c205.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.755332.1%17 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked MOUZ74c202.64$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1444641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed PARIVISION38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7645244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed PARIVISION37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed MOUZ62c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked PARIVISION34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION29c189.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.634,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed PARIVISION6c187.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4625416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked MOUZ63c159.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2165662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed PARIVISION39c153.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7730527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed PARIVISION36c152.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.087425.7%19 W · 55 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ70c150.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed PARIVISION10c148.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed MOUZ63c144.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.512158.7%71 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed PARIVISION8c139.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0910849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION20c138.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.287,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed MOUZ76c137.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9813060%78 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked MOUZ73c136.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.935961%36 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ63c130.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2719342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed MOUZ78c128.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5911470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked MOUZ65c125.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.898459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed PARIVISION40c125.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked PARIVISION38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.684037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed PARIVISION10c117.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.445022%11 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ61c114$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed PARIVISION26c112.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.813545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked MOUZ66c109.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5119350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed PARIVISION16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb6…d200backed MOUZ79c97.62$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52572%18 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked PARIVISION36c92.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.377138%27 W · 44 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed MOUZ65c92.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6812955%71 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed MOUZ64c84.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4319150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ66c80.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.361,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd4…b3a8backed PARIVISION16c75.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed MOUZ80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed MOUZ65c70.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7916650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eee…74e0backed PARIVISION38c69.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.243158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed MOUZ63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4918254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.