TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof MOUZ, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,633
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,633 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ37c10,101$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.863,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed PARIVISION71c7,008$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.6212649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked MOUZ1c6,514$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1413315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ46c6,437$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.1981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked PARIVISION50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9921251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION46c4,356$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ44c2,761$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.091,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ44c2,307$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.251,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed MOUZ39c2,025$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.3919732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ41c1,701$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.5526046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ48c1,569$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9932548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION53c1,196$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.1237646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ47c1,061$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION58c999.98$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4958961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION55c999.97$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9958651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked PARIVISION73c973.97$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9718654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed MOUZ45c834.88$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8616349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ56c787.95$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8614144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ33c694.11$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.12,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7046…12bcbacked PARIVISION56c684.57$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ41c607.41$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9914532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed MOUZ55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed PARIVISION52c544.9$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.99364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked PARIVISION58c517.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.832572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x822e…5febbacked PARIVISION46c500$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed MOUZ37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18526451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked PARIVISION55c488$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4547738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed PARIVISION67c482.24$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6618037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ47c470.03$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.344,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed MOUZ32c464.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ45c450$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION53c448.9$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.935341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked PARIVISION56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.435246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ33c440$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.41,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked PARIVISION68c430$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.73647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION59c416$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.693,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked PARIVISION75c399.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3544641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed PARIVISION62c391$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2821055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION47c389.44$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed PARIVISION37c362.41$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.417857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed PARIVISION60c348.19$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.249152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked PARIVISION63c331.56$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5665662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked PARIVISION61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed PARIVISION30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked PARIVISION68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.251,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ42c287.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.861,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87e…acd3backed MOUZ18c275$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed MOUZ43c270$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.413540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed MOUZ45c266.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12149850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked PARIVISION50c265$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ70c250.42$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2920050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed MOUZ45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.528344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ33c242.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.462,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a8d…6418backed MOUZ53c228.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked MOUZ40c214.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.849038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed PARIVISION67c202.17$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1731372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked MOUZ33c200.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8331933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed MOUZ49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9823057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed PARIVISION48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed PARIVISION54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbac5…27d0backed MOUZ51c179.57$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.031747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed PARIVISION49c175.27$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.397425.7%19 W · 55 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed PARIVISION62c139.51$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.518435.7%30 W · 54 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ36c138.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8130527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8129…5f30backed PARIVISION73c136.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8c…53d5backed MOUZ47c135.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.631118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-62.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ36c135.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked MOUZ20c131.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6419350.3%97 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked PARIVISION47c128.58$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5826046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9816…cc22backed MOUZ26c127.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.961910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-79.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked MOUZ38c124.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.013644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked PARIVISION74c123.01$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6584037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed PARIVISION62c117.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4855043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked PARIVISION62c114.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6737859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed PARIVISION66c108.9$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0334848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed PARIVISION48c105$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5537850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked MOUZ46c104.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.259647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked PARIVISION50c102.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.247251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5342057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ff…a353backed MOUZ41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed MOUZ23c89.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.462538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked PARIVISION57c88.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9220052.5%105 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed PARIVISION60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3319150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked PARIVISION61c82.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.387138%27 W · 44 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed PARIVISION61c73.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7733456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed MOUZ58c73.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5510167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked PARIVISION40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425335.8%19 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3aa…b686backed PARIVISION65c66.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed MOUZ60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x717f…1501backed PARIVISION60c66.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ30c64.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.311,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ51c62.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.627,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x464b…06f5backed MOUZ39c62.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.365332.1%17 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION60c61.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.844,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed PARIVISION59c57.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6314751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4324…2a1cbacked PARIVISION36c55.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.595100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed MOUZ43c54.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4819655.1%108 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.