CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5a276a2333407af8aa2ab9f9483dbcfb3ebb5cefc6651cf6765ce3d09ceb56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof MOUZ, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 67c | 9,811$6,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.56 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 0c | 3,701$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed PARIVISION | 66c | 606.43$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.26 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed MOUZ | 33c | 467$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ | 28c | 419.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed MOUZ | 3c | 400.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed PARIVISION | 66c | 150.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed PARIVISION | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed MOUZ | 49c | 75.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked PARIVISION | 50c | 70.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed PARIVISION | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 34c | 46.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed PARIVISION | 66c | 37.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked MOUZ | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.