CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8b13c664d0cd05b9dcf099d51fb84cc2643ef215bc19a014b6c385ab3edab56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 48c | 3,069$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.64 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 52c | 2,092$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 827.24$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.16 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Over | 48c | 400.04$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 360.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 52c | 334$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under | 52c | 209$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 46c | 120.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 108.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Under | 51c | 93.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 55c | 91.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…ea9abacked Over | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 50c | 80.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 73c | 47.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 41.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 51c | 34.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 72c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.