NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca4a77ec18795e4e1387a565f2d100444866ad9fecd320ddcb0266ef5c50767a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 48c | 32,402$15,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,561.91 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 23,074$11,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,080.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Under | 54c | 12,041$6,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Under | 50c | 8,084$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 6,955$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.5 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…8c51backed Over | 46c | 6,889$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2290…4ef6backed Under | 54c | 5,560$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…59afbacked Under | 54c | 5,195$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…3f58backed Under | 54c | 4,824$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 4,084$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81bf…748fbacked Under | 54c | 4,040$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b1…ad70backed Under | 54c | 3,699$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…93d7backed Over | 46c | 3,641$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…43f7backed Under | 54c | 3,501$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e0…2c84backed Under | 54c | 3,460$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…a507backed Under | 54c | 3,358$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…5e2ebacked Over | 46c | 3,211$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a440backed Over | 46c | 3,140$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.36 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ad…119bbacked Over | 46c | 3,080$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…7e7cbacked Over | 46c | 3,030$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377d…cbacbacked Over | 46c | 2,905$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…40febacked Under | 54c | 2,668$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…02f3backed Over | 46c | 2,508$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1a…3955backed Over | 46c | 2,498$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3a…9792backed Over | 46c | 2,497$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…f51abacked Under | 54c | 2,484$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…810fbacked Under | 54c | 2,390$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…db42backed Over | 46c | 2,185$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702f…7b97backed Over | 46c | 2,162$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…7bf5backed Under | 54c | 2,031$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…4b7fbacked Under | 54c | 2,006$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77f…bf27backed Over | 46c | 1,947$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…689fbacked Under | 54c | 1,899$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…1f2dbacked Over | 46c | 1,863$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…0ca1backed Under | 54c | 1,842$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,814$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…63f7backed Over | 46c | 1,721$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…f01bbacked Over | 46c | 1,704$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…dbf1backed Under | 54c | 1,702$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a08cbacked Over | 46c | 1,701$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…d85abacked Under | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…b2dbbacked Over | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…45cabacked Over | 46c | 1,691$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…31b3backed Under | 54c | 1,634$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…8cb5backed Over | 46c | 1,605$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a5…883bbacked Over | 46c | 1,551$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…ce9bbacked Over | 46c | 1,513$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…bf7fbacked Under | 54c | 1,497$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…c636backed Over | 46c | 1,496$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…31b2backed Over | 46c | 1,491$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4618…5dccbacked Under | 54c | 1,475$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…ae27backed Over | 46c | 1,448$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…e252backed Over | 46c | 1,408$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…0490backed Over | 46c | 1,390$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…c511backed Over | 46c | 1,386$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…ae27backed Over | 46c | 1,381$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…b812backed Under | 54c | 1,376$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ae…29bfbacked Over | 46c | 1,340$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…0941backed Under | 54c | 1,325$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…5c61backed Under | 54c | 1,284$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…8e04backed Over | 46c | 1,267$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…cd86backed Over | 46c | 1,234$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…b9d4backed Under | 54c | 1,229$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…adbabacked Over | 46c | 1,215$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf8…3bc7backed Over | 46c | 1,213$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…ab12backed Under | 54c | 1,210$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd70a…4e91backed Under | 54c | 1,193$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 1,178$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.28 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…f8d7backed Over | 46c | 1,163$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…2e19backed Over | 46c | 1,163$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…2b4abacked Over | 46c | 1,156$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…5689backed Over | 46c | 1,153$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…a968backed Over | 46c | 1,124$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…7a8bbacked Over | 46c | 1,027$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…6a64backed Under | 54c | 1,020$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc3…7097backed Over | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…4160backed Under | 54c | 990$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…2929backed Under | 54c | 988$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…4bf2backed Over | 46c | 987$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…5e3bbacked Over | 46c | 981$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…1789backed Under | 54c | 979$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…0936backed Under | 54c | 967$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…0948backed Under | 54c | 953$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaa…0016backed Over | 46c | 948$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…80d7backed Under | 54c | 911$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7035…a00abacked Over | 46c | 911$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…e374backed Over | 46c | 890$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…a1a6backed Over | 46c | 865$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…cb56backed Over | 46c | 864$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 857.23$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…5a71backed Under | 54c | 854$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…2b3abacked Under | 54c | 841$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…75c8backed Over | 46c | 839$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…83c6backed Over | 46c | 835$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…7b3ebacked Under | 54c | 769$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…f6febacked Over | 46c | 755$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…9f28backed Under | 54c | 734$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.