NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570ccb8ac231745265eefd271315d7d476217a14dc21ebd1e1fe3a3cd3fab15d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 49c | 237,573$115,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,576.69 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 51c | 120,000$61,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,600 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls | 51c | 67,243$34,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,294.16 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 48c | 56,239$26,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,486.42 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Bulls | 52c | 23,755$12,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,352.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Bulls | 53c | 21,000$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,130 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Bulls | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Bulls | 54c | 14,807$8,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,043 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bulls | 52c | 12,178$6,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,286.16 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 48c | 11,444$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,951.79 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 52c | 9,248$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.96 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 52c | 8,026$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 48c | 6,093$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.75 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls | 52c | 5,979$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.97 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,800$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 4,587$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.8 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 46c | 4,284$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bulls | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 70c | 3,539$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 49c | 3,483$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.12 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Bulls | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bulls | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 51c | 2,200$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Bulls | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bulls | 52c | 1,761$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.72 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Bulls | 51c | 1,277$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,117$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.45 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Bulls | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Bulls | 49c | 722.44$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.46 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls | 53c | 707.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.12 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Raptors | 49c | 505.05$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Raptors | 48c | 418.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Raptors | 58c | 345.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bulls | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Raptors | 49c | 299.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bulls | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 54c | 277.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…dc1abacked Bulls | 53c | 248.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 42c | 226.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Bulls | 53c | 218.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Bulls | 52c | 211.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Raptors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Raptors | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Raptors | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bulls | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Bulls | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Raptors | 56c | 182$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Raptors | 48c | 168.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked Raptors | 57c | 159.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 49c | 147.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Raptors | 70c | 143.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Raptors | 55c | 143.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Bulls | 51c | 136.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 46c | 132.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…eb58backed Bulls | 51c | 130.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bulls | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Raptors | 46c | 124.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Bulls | 52c | 120.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Bulls | 42c | 119.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Raptors | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 48c | 103.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Raptors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Raptors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 41c | 101.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…7d99backed Bulls | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 468 | 26.5%124 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Bulls | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc544…3f32backed Bulls | 50c | 98.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Bulls | 52c | 96.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Bulls | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Raptors | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Bulls | 52c | 89.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 53c | 81.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Raptors | 65c | 76.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bulls | 52c | 76.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Bulls | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Bulls | 41c | 72.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…ed39backed Bulls | 50c | 69.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed Bulls | 52c | 67.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Raptors | 49c | 64.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Bulls | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Raptors | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bulls | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Bulls | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…63f7backed Raptors | 49c | 52.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Raptors | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Raptors | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Raptors | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Bulls | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bulls | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Bulls | 43c | 46.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Raptors | 49c | 44.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.