NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78eaf0cf1151b82b69725768b00c00315555fd11c584e02bc345032696dbc4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 55c | 20,142$11,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,170.88 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 11,996$5,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,676.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…b97cbacked Under | 44c | 7,416$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…6390backed Under | 44c | 6,650$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…bc92backed Under | 44c | 5,382$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…906dbacked Under | 44c | 4,883$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e98…f76bbacked Over | 56c | 4,810$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…7551backed Under | 44c | 3,949$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb9…8266backed Over | 56c | 3,948$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…a2d4backed Over | 56c | 3,765$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bb…5474backed Under | 44c | 3,514$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…ccd7backed Over | 56c | 3,471$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…f4b2backed Over | 56c | 3,440$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…fa0dbacked Under | 44c | 2,939$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…dcbebacked Over | 56c | 2,913$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…c876backed Over | 56c | 2,893$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…f312backed Under | 44c | 2,830$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…0b75backed Over | 56c | 2,717$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,663$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…69f1backed Over | 56c | 2,659$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…9955backed Under | 44c | 2,611$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…79fabacked Over | 56c | 2,611$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8878…9119backed Under | 44c | 2,561$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…c040backed Over | 56c | 2,401$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…580ebacked Over | 56c | 2,397$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…197dbacked Over | 56c | 2,387$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…3448backed Under | 44c | 2,354$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…36d4backed Over | 56c | 2,345$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cab…7f4abacked Under | 44c | 2,317$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Under | 44c | 2,241$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…8139backed Under | 44c | 2,188$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 2,161$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 2,148$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…ecfcbacked Over | 56c | 2,133$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…30d0backed Over | 56c | 2,086$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…bfa7backed Over | 56c | 2,074$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc0…2db3backed Under | 44c | 2,066$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…b213backed Under | 44c | 1,909$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07b…5181backed Under | 44c | 1,872$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf729…8a19backed Under | 44c | 1,849$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…b487backed Under | 44c | 1,811$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…8076backed Over | 56c | 1,801$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…356abacked Under | 44c | 1,779$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…e91ebacked Under | 44c | 1,753$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…1de2backed Over | 56c | 1,669$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…03f9backed Over | 56c | 1,634$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…9fd1backed Under | 44c | 1,632$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…a866backed Over | 56c | 1,591$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0125…bdfdbacked Over | 56c | 1,568$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…ca78backed Over | 56c | 1,565$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…6797backed Under | 44c | 1,553$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c78…efa7backed Over | 56c | 1,538$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…3f6abacked Over | 56c | 1,510$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…c325backed Under | 44c | 1,508$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75db…ed81backed Over | 56c | 1,489$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9f1fbacked Over | 56c | 1,485$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…c3b6backed Under | 44c | 1,480$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…40f7backed Over | 56c | 1,464$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa8…a22ebacked Under | 44c | 1,434$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…ce00backed Over | 56c | 1,428$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…b5dbbacked Over | 56c | 1,408$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 1,400$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…250cbacked Over | 56c | 1,396$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…0aacbacked Over | 56c | 1,370$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…7bd1backed Over | 56c | 1,349$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…c06dbacked Over | 56c | 1,338$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…2838backed Over | 56c | 1,313$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…0921backed Under | 44c | 1,299$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae32…c543backed Over | 56c | 1,277$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…3133backed Under | 44c | 1,264$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…00ffbacked Under | 44c | 1,256$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…7a03backed Under | 44c | 1,224$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…2936backed Under | 44c | 1,169$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2f…c952backed Under | 44c | 1,165$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde83…dbbbbacked Under | 44c | 1,144$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…1448backed Under | 44c | 1,124$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f51…fd36backed Over | 56c | 1,073$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…0f8bbacked Under | 44c | 1,063$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…cb56backed Under | 44c | 1,059$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…13c8backed Over | 56c | 1,039$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 31c | 1,038$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…b8a6backed Over | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…6c87backed Over | 56c | 1,017$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5f55backed Over | 56c | 1,009$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca3…7121backed Under | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…7d37backed Over | 56c | 1,006$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c8…0629backed Under | 44c | 1,002$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…64c9backed Under | 44c | 969$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…72adbacked Over | 56c | 964$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…be13backed Under | 44c | 958$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93f…4b3dbacked Under | 44c | 957$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…5aa8backed Under | 44c | 953$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…42aebacked Over | 56c | 943$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…c55fbacked Under | 44c | 937$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb979…046abacked Under | 44c | 930$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…ed30backed Under | 44c | 898$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…4595backed Under | 44c | 895$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 868.34$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.9 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…c5c4backed Under | 44c | 860$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.