NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5303868fbbe2f1857073ac72d5d262411f7d1cb704594a7b92a6151acbdac79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 51c | 42,904$22,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,013.68 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 31,132$15,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,789.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 7,628$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.76 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 5,755$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.56 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 47c | 4,221$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 50c | 2,873$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.84 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 25c | 2,746$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 53c | 2,352$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.97 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,806$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,709$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 1,426$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.76 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 1,292$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.16 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,058$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,030$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.74 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.4 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 570.89$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.15 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 47c | 505$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 483.22$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 49c | 153.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 151.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 125.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 120.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 51c | 102.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 91.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…0143backed Over | 12c | 83.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 71.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 67.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…cd8bbacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 59.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 53c | 53.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Over | 53c | 51.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…ae58backed Over | 53c | 33.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Under | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Over | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 49c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…4b74backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…e3e9backed Under | 53c | 18.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.