TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c41,883$20,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,346.543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c15,299$7,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,879.992,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c11,999$6,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,834.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under51c9,826$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,825.5126648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c6,906$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.472,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,574$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over52c2,801$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.6741652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c2,489$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.461,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Under48c2,364$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.246841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c2,150$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c1,996$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c1,868$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c1,853$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.0648546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c2…722ebacked Under49c1,837$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.731258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under50c1,625$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.4451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c1,592$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.3258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under49c1,550$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.513946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c1,541$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.573,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,367$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.322,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under54c1,319$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.8141553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over52c1,179$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.3324549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under49c979.59$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.5917454%94 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over44c884.18$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.212,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over9c790$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Under52c599.49$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.768041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c568.7$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.662,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under48c495$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.447354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c477.87$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over46c424$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0417644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over46c422.95$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…189cbacked Over52c386.56$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Under50c346.53$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.279267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under51c334.96$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7120536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under49c297.2$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5740546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c259.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over9c186.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over28c184$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5221642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c171.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c168.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under73c157.31$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over33c155.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.823,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c155.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.981,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under55c155$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c154.01$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over47c133$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.512,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.182,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over46c113$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9871547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under48c100.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfae…8b06backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3378652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Under49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.219657.3%55 W · 41 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under77c66.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under70c66.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.731,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c60.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.511,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under50c59.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.428456%47 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c57.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c56.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.271,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303727%10 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under49c52.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0227359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.523655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c50.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.492,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7520847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Over42c47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7439047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5353839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.827550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…7350backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-70%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2137949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Over51c26.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.727251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…b0ecbacked Under51c25.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.693964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f99…e345backed Over51c25.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Under77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5842335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under55c19.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.