NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x737689c4cb064038e9300e0e62b9b7b13c10ce067e107f0ae2c88ef7b005d724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,412,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,502,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,412,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls | 33c | 452,656$149,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,788.26 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 67c | 79,219$53,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,142.2 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Raptors | 68c | 74,973$51,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,791.33 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls | 34c | 63,823$21,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,640.18 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 67c | 56,979$38,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,803.1 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Bulls | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Raptors | 66c | 45,558$30,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,489.67 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 67c | 37,115$24,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,253.23 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 67c | 31,185$20,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,255.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 66c | 22,129$14,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,573.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Bulls | 34c | 21,587$7,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,267.17 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Bulls | 34c | 20,002$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800.68 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Raptors | 67c | 18,893$12,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,263.56 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 67c | 17,827$11,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,966.42 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 18c | 16,243$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 68c | 16,071$10,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,201.23 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 66c | 15,876$10,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bulls | 34c | 15,015$5,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,105.1 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Raptors | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bulls | 12c | 14,001$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.12 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Raptors | 67c | 13,531$9,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.17 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Raptors | 67c | 12,622$8,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.39 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Raptors | 65c | 12,130$7,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,226.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Bulls | 35c | 12,096$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.4 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Raptors | 67c | 12,007$8,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,962.31 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Raptors | 66c | 11,000$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Bulls | 34c | 11,000$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.98 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 22c | 10,963$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Raptors | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 72c | 9,545$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 68c | 9,200$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 66c | 9,083$6,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Raptors | 67c | 8,719$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 7c | 8,413$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Bulls | 22c | 7,740$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.8 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 66c | 7,469$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.43 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Raptors | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bulls | 33c | 7,371$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.43 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Raptors | 77c | 6,876$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.79 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Raptors | 66c | 6,700$4,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Bulls | 34c | 6,700$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 66c | 6,198$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Raptors | 67c | 6,100$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 66c | 5,520$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.75 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls | 34c | 5,489$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.4 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls | 34c | 5,441$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls | 14c | 5,100$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.59 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Raptors | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bulls | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Bulls | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 67c | 4,975$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.63 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed Bulls | 11c | 4,659$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.77 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Raptors | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Raptors | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Raptors | 66c | 4,000$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…a51dbacked Bulls | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Raptors | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.94 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Raptors | 66c | 3,840$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.6 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Bulls | 22c | 3,647$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.12 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 1c | 3,635$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 12c | 3,558$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.34 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 66c | 3,553$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.93 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Bulls | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 66c | 3,476$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.78 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Raptors | 67c | 3,440$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.3 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors | 78c | 3,402$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.49 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls | 1c | 3,214$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Bulls | 28c | 3,162$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.48 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Bulls | 11c | 3,151$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Raptors | 67c | 3,090$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.7 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 34c | 3,050$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Bulls | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Bulls | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Raptors | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Raptors | 67c | 2,818$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.91 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Raptors | 65c | 2,394$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.88 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raptors | 75c | 2,362$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.03 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…b890backed Raptors | 66c | 2,308$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.72 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Raptors | 66c | 2,280$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Bulls | 22c | 2,224$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.72 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Bulls | 34c | 2,222$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.48 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bulls | 28c | 2,222$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.88 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Raptors | 67c | 2,159$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.31 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed Raptors | 66c | 2,092$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 14c | 2,076$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Bulls | 35c | 2,052$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Bulls | 28c | 2,026$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.79 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Raptors | 65c | 2,020$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.97 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…97b6backed Raptors | 67c | 2,015$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Bulls | 33c | 2,004$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Bulls | 8c | 2,002$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 35c | 1,979$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Bulls | 20c | 1,975$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bullsthis page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.