TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,412,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,502,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,412,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls33c452,656$149,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,788.2643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors67c79,219$53,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,142.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Raptors68c74,973$51,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,791.3351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls34c63,823$21,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,640.1851844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors67c56,979$38,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,803.144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Bulls34c50,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,0003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Raptors66c45,558$30,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,489.6719653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Raptors67c37,115$24,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,253.231,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors67c31,185$20,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,255.51,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Bulls0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors66c22,129$14,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,573.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Bulls34c21,587$7,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,267.1728742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Bulls34c20,002$6,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800.685349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors66c20,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,80020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Raptors67c18,893$12,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,263.568748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors67c17,827$11,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.422,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls18c16,243$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Raptors68c16,071$10,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,201.232,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors66c15,876$10,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Bulls34c15,015$5,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,105.119150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls34c15,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Raptors66c15,000$9,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Bulls12c14,001$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.1213625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Raptors67c13,531$9,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,496.176657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Raptors67c12,622$8,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,165.399743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x419b…0944backed Raptors65c12,130$7,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,226.581471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Bulls35c12,096$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.419957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Raptors67c12,007$8,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.316848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Raptors66c11,000$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,74013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Bulls34c11,000$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.988052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls22c10,963$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.373,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Raptors66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors72c9,545$6,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors68c9,200$6,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.892,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors66c9,083$6,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.552,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1a…5abfbacked Raptors67c8,719$5,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.193946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls7c8,413$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Bulls22c7,740$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.89026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Raptors66c7,469$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.4371547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Raptors67c7,463$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.6929347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Bulls33c7,371$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.4337539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Raptors77c6,876$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.793271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Raptors66c6,700$4,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2782965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Bulls34c6,700$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.993129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors66c6,198$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Raptors67c6,100$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0133345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors66c5,520$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.751,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls34c5,489$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls34c5,441$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls14c5,100$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.5980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Raptors66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bulls34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Bulls35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors67c4,975$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.6376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Bulls11c4,659$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.778127.2%22 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Raptors67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.618953.9%48 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Raptors67c4,478$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.6117241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Raptors66c4,000$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3809344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6589…a51dbacked Bulls34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Raptors66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Raptors66c3,840$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.638148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Bulls22c3,647$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.127945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls1c3,635$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.988820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls12c3,558$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.3459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors66c3,553$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.9372450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Bulls33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.9929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors66c3,476$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.7875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Raptors67c3,440$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.313063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors78c3,402$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.4989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls1c3,214$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.125213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Bulls28c3,162$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.4838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Bulls11c3,151$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3395813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Raptors67c3,090$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.717653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls34c3,050$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Bulls34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Bulls33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99054443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Raptors66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9912745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Raptors67c2,818$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9112855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Raptors65c2,394$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.8817151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors75c2,362$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.032,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x797d…b890backed Raptors66c2,308$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.724153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Raptors66c2,280$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.220355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Bulls22c2,224$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.724231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Bulls34c2,222$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.488834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Bulls28c2,222$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1676850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.881,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Raptors67c2,159$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.319757.7%56 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed Raptors66c2,092$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.283040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls14c2,076$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x808c…b77ebacked Bulls35c2,052$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.052138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Bulls28c2,026$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.799117.6%16 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Raptors65c2,020$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.9722643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…97b6backed Raptors67c2,015$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Bulls33c2,004$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6607030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Bulls8c2,002$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.061,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls35c1,979$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Bulls20c1,975$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.165448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.