NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f2dac6353ffd2a3018bc02b37df6f9449d20ee5a3387ea9e45125df728e347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 52c | 42,598$22,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,446.97 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Bulls | 48c | 34,030$16,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,334.4 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 48c | 25,605$12,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,290.45 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bulls | 47c | 17,877$8,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,472.08 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 52c | 12,601$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048.48 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 50c | 11,529$5,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Raptors | 52c | 10,025$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.83 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Raptors | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 53c | 6,289$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.68 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 49c | 6,178$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 47c | 5,594$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 47c | 5,142$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls | 48c | 4,727$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.47 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 48c | 4,119$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 53c | 4,000$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.88 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Bulls | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 53c | 2,600$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.67 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Bulls | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Raptors | 52c | 2,038$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Raptors | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Raptors | 27c | 1,822$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.17 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bulls | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Bulls | 48c | 1,542$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 47c | 1,495$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,310$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.75 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 52c | 1,222$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.09 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Raptors | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.07 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls | 47c | 1,100$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Bulls | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Raptors | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 46c | 835.18$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Raptors | 53c | 676.02$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.45 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Raptors | 53c | 571.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.24 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 52c | 501.39$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Raptors | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Raptors | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 51c | 397.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 47c | 378.89$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Bulls | 49c | 288.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…0673backed Raptors | 56c | 269.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Raptors | 54c | 218.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 58c | 216.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 8c | 212$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 43c | 199.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 55c | 197.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Raptors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 46c | 172.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Bulls | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 47c | 152.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Raptors | 66c | 152.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Bulls | 49c | 147.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Raptors | 62c | 144.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 48c | 144.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Bulls | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 52c | 136$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Raptors | 52c | 124.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Bulls | 50c | 120.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bulls | 44c | 114.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Raptors | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Raptors | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Raptors | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bulls | 48c | 96.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Raptors | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Raptors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Raptors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Bulls | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Bulls | 42c | 82.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Raptors | 54c | 80.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Bulls | 48c | 76.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 60c | 76.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Raptors | 47c | 69.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bulls | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 44c | 69.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Raptors | 53c | 67.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Raptors | 61c | 66.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 47c | 60.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…06bbbacked Raptors | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Raptors | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Raptors | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Bulls | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Bulls | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Raptors | 54c | 49.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Raptors | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Raptors | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 34c | 40.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Raptors | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Raptors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Raptors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…b5b5backed Bulls | 49c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Raptors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Raptors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bulls | 33c | 35.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Raptors | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…7522backed Raptors | 53c | 33.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)this page
- Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.