TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof 3DMAX, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed Astralis64c31,040$19,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,091.2712649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX52c19,051$9,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,941.43,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Astralis51c10,926$5,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,354.3341649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX35c6,574$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.681,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX38c3,586$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.733,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX39c3,328$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.151,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x309b…2c72backed 3DMAX20c2,518$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4982544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX44c2,048$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.082,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked 3DMAX57c1,890$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9516846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis56c1,748$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed 3DMAX34c1,562$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.9526046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked 3DMAX48c1,507$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.721811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Astralis30c1,500$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.391,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX33c1,346$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked 3DMAX33c1,249$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7624939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX44c1,243$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.9498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX44c1,190$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed 3DMAX23c1,142$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2292152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Astralis76c1,056$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0713065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc537…f385backed 3DMAX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10340%0 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Astralis55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed 3DMAX27c923.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8658…41c6backed 3DMAX47c893.57$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9810354.4%56 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Astralis48c865.41$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.414346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX38c814.54$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.46,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Astralis54c763.76$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3321048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX28c750.84$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.071,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis43c712$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.031,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed 3DMAX78c694.77$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX28c640$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.85,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX35c621.21$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.311,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked 3DMAX32c607.02$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.199038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked 3DMAX70c600$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.210446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked 3DMAX36c586.88$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7313540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX39c560.18$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.232,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48a…bfc6backed Astralis78c544.58$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed 3DMAX42c539.37$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6738452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX34c523$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.874,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis71c517.51$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.982,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis60c509.72$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.864,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed 3DMAX46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23083543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX32c486.23$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.683,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Astralis58c391.63$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.840655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a1…2169backed Astralis26c343.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed 3DMAX45c317.78$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14314751%75 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Astralis31c313.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2811638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc5…7b98backed Astralis59c287.3$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.31850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed 3DMAX30c229$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.778348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed 3DMAX69c204$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7245058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Astralis66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Astralis63c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed 3DMAX52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x249a…4917backed Astralis74c152.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.782580%20 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed 3DMAX69c151.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.273658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 3DMAX44c134.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.071,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Astralis41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.72,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Astralis79c126.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8431372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed 3DMAX17c123.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Astralis76c120.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4247053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed 3DMAX48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed 3DMAX20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Astralis80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2065546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked Astralis56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447138%27 W · 44 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7386…b1debacked 3DMAX45c87.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44e3…855bbacked 3DMAX55c78.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201b…9146backed 3DMAX50c76.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb7f…c092backed 3DMAX20c64.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked 3DMAX47c63.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked 3DMAX48c61.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.393363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Astralis52c60.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4410660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Astralis40c60.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Astralis31c56.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9333352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed 3DMAX53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed 3DMAX49c56.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4617745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX38c55.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e0…70f8backed Astralis80c53.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83390.9%30 W · 3 L+6.9wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1347738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed 3DMAX70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3542057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Astralis63c49.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.977147.9%34 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5b…e3bdbacked Astralis52c46.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x558c…d8ffbacked 3DMAX45c44.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed 3DMAX58c36.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1211742.7%50 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9c9…d487backed Astralis34c35.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.294932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee81…328cbacked 3DMAX52c32.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.182634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed 3DMAX44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.250833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf45…3543backed 3DMAX49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd4f…7a8dbacked 3DMAX49c29.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked 3DMAX49c29.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…dc40backed Astralis75c28.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.171471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2700…9165backed 3DMAX46c28.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed 3DMAX74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5304…61cfbacked Astralis57c25.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6774…2e8abacked Astralis73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751936.8%7 W · 12 L-5.6wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-47.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed Astralis62c20.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-61.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Astralis55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eee…74e0backed Astralis76c19.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.593158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Astralis75c19.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.814551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed 3DMAX55c18.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0910849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.