CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc25f88c8d1e2127202d95ee97b4b84a0a0c6cd62c2900cec1b47d9be16618b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof 3DMAX, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb726…0664backed Astralis | 64c | 29,947$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,746.53 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX | 36c | 29,608$10,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,518.64 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Astralis | 64c | 3,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.5 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX | 42c | 2,075$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Astralis | 69c | 2,018$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.94 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed 3DMAX | 15c | 880.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed 3DMAX | 34c | 681.76$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX | 38c | 531$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 36c | 530.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.98 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 58c | 524.76$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 66c | 511.76$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 35c | 457.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed 3DMAX | 6c | 399.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX | 6c | 392.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX | 36c | 352.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed 3DMAX | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Astralis | 63c | 197.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX | 39c | 194$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 39c | 194$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 35c | 192.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 3DMAX | 34c | 175.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Astralis | 60c | 144.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Astralis | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Astralis | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 3DMAX | 18c | 115.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Astralis | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Astralis | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed 3DMAX | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Astralis | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Astralis | 67c | 57.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Astralis | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Astralis | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff6…5d2dbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 56c | 40.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Astralis | 67c | 37.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked 3DMAX | 29c | 37.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…3f4fbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 34.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…ddb9backed 3DMAX | 38c | 26.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Astralis | 60c | 25.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Astralis | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad5…7c7ebacked Astralis | 73c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.