TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ49c10,020$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,064.353,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked FUT Esports53c9,939$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.6621251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ38c7,513$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,656.8922927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ec…1ea6backed MOUZ57c5,400$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3216…aa16backed FUT Esports43c5,400$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ46c4,912$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.492,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked MOUZ52c4,300$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.983246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked FUT Esports48c4,192$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff4…3609backed FUT Esports46c4,000$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.121546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed FUT Esports43c3,813$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.9728248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ38c3,439$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.51,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed FUT Esports45c3,104$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.0611643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed FUT Esports48c2,973$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.0237646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked MOUZ57c2,746$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.1415245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ39c2,500$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.883,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ51c2,191$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.9326046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ52c2,163$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.352,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ53c2,150$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked FUT Esports44c2,005$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.193432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ47c1,976$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.054,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked MOUZ57c1,963$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.7212038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked FUT Esports57c1,890$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.379038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed MOUZ60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.672378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+37.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports37c1,634$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.81,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked MOUZ49c1,422$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.596048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed FUT Esports44c1,422$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63124944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FUT Esports64c1,400$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89622554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ55c1,293$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ32c1,149$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.0316846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x790a…b48fbacked FUT Esports45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports45c1,110$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.375450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ47c1,067$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.186253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports36c1,057$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.315,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked MOUZ56c1,038$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.8610251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed FUT Esports68c999$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.4558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed FUT Esports26c958.35$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed MOUZ56c870$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.815249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e53…eaebbacked FUT Esports40c868.12$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506045%27 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ36c796.38$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.651,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked FUT Esports41c668.73$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2722532%8 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports45c664.09$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.271,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked FUT Esports46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed FUT Esports30c598.01$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.417345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed MOUZ67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0115970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked FUT Esports69c581.39$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.44346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed FUT Esports49c554.97$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1617857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed FUT Esports36c547.83$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2631654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed FUT Esports47c499.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed FUT Esports35c499.97$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9926451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ42c488.92$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.274,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ38c488.63$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.026,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked MOUZ43c464.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.983647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed FUT Esports56c408$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.3417548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed FUT Esports51c400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20247641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed MOUZ28c399.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9935344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked FUT Esports44c371.92$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1121737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed MOUZ72c367.72$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.966454.7%35 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ27c359.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.062,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed MOUZ56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.148537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed FUT Esports47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.512742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports55c325.34$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.941,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9798…12d2backed FUT Esports47c319.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686d…a66abacked FUT Esports65c309.7$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed MOUZ55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1358158%47 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed MOUZ21c299.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9931444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed FUT Esports45c298.06$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.193151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f06…39c7backed FUT Esports34c290.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.861323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ55c290.18$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.211,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed FUT Esports47c285.11$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13437850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports72c277.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.027,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed FUT Esports74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed FUT Esports12c250$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0424440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed FUT Esports73c231.43$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6420050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed FUT Esports44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FUT Esports69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FUT Esports68c215.63$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6345455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cc…f862backed FUT Esports47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004963.3%31 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac23…c1fcbacked FUT Esports47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007138%27 W · 44 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed FUT Esports47c211.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.662538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed MOUZ62c210.15$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9152947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b0…2b2cbacked MOUZ36c210$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed FUT Esports7c207.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147828.2%22 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+113.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed FUT Esports66c202.13$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13431372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked FUT Esports43c201$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3560147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked FUT Esports7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f03…7551backed MOUZ62c191$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.581241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked MOUZ48c188.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.938259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked FUT Esports53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed FUT Esports67c185$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.953447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ55c182.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked MOUZ25c176.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.393531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ53c175.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7869863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FUT Esports21c171.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.822,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked FUT Esports61c164.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked FUT Esports45c151.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed FUT Esports68c147.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed FUT Esports22c143.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.091,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x595b…c9d0backed FUT Esports75c142.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.693857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.