CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4af7bb927479377485dc22d8311e00fa4e2af02facbdbb7deed4155ce6b690d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked FUT Esports | 63c | 3,856$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.05 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,863$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.22 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…e28bbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed FUT Esports | 64c | 602.75$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.76 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked MOUZ | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed FUT Esports | 65c | 462.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed FUT Esports | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed MOUZ | 35c | 353.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.63 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FUT Esports | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed FUT Esports | 63c | 236.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed FUT Esports | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed MOUZ | 38c | 209.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 189.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed FUT Esports | 65c | 153.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed MOUZ | 37c | 136$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 35c | 134.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 34c | 106.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports | 62c | 82.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…20edbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 37.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed FUT Esports | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MOUZ | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked FUT Esports | 64c | 16.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.