CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd2fabc0a60fe7c24d51c30ae2c7cfa61723af79419e94ce82aa2326ba9111b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Vitality, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed G2 | 49c | 10,000$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Vitality | 50c | 5,924$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.82 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality | 53c | 1,373$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.7 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed G2 | 51c | 1,000$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed G2 | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Vitality | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed G2 | 51c | 835$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Vitality | 49c | 684.14$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.23 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Vitality | 50c | 602.2$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Vitality | 50c | 577.21$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed G2 | 51c | 457.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 49c | 437.14$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Vitality | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Vitality | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed G2 | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality | 48c | 377.74$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed G2 | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Vitality | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed G2 | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Vitality | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Vitality | 50c | 110.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Vitality | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Vitality | 54c | 93.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed G2 | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Vitality | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality | 53c | 85.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked G2 | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked G2 | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…a573backed Vitality | 56c | 57.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked G2 | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Vitality | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…74e0backed Vitality | 53c | 44.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Vitality | 42c | 43.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Vitality | 50c | 39.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed G2 | 49c | 38.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Vitality | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed G2 | 58c | 37.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Vitality | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed Vitality | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…449dbacked Vitality | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Vitality | 56c | 29.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Vitality | 54c | 26.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c4b8backed Vitality | 53c | 26.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.