CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60b187c4a95744edc663b364383928158da005a1e48c4f73c78b47a9197f11c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 41,595$21,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,313.39 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 48c | 19,954$9,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,531.27 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 11,621$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,514.12 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.99 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Astralis | 50c | 8,467$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.57 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Astralis | 49c | 8,311$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 8,193$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.99 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 48c | 8,057$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.73 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 7,123$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.07 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 6,431$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.25 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Astralis | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.93 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Astralis | 49c | 4,403$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 3,725$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.17 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 3,551$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.95 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 53c | 3,121$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.39 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 3,014$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.85 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Astralis | 65c | 2,852$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.91 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 2,525$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Astralis | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.7 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Astralis | 38c | 2,490$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.16 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Astralis | 49c | 2,214$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 2,179$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.13 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Astralis | 49c | 2,114$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.89 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Astralis | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,962$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.53 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,846$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.53 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,840$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.23 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 49c | 1,337$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,334$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.9 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Astralis | 20c | 1,300$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Astralis | 47c | 1,221$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.43 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,213$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.46 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Astralis | 26c | 1,138$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Astralis | 33c | 1,111$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Astralis | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 28c | 1,035$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.33 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 21c | 993.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.35 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 29c | 965.09$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…5191backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 898.18$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.18 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1c…1973backed Astralis | 33c | 894.68$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 888.08$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.92 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Astralis | 39c | 862$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Astralis | 66c | 772.18$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.7 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Astralis | 27c | 771.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis | 48c | 708.69$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.17 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 48c | 707.18$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.45 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Astralis | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Astralis | 34c | 589.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 536.51$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.66 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +6.9wins | +0.30per pick | 44cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Astralis | 48c | 509.94$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Astralis | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Astralis | 42c | 480.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 480$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Astralis | 18c | 474.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 467.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 451$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 444.23$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 438.68$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Astralis | 45c | 438.52$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 425.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Astralis | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Astralis | 49c | 407.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Astralis | 25c | 405$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Astralis | 48c | 399.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Astralis | 35c | 398.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 618 | 54.9%339 W · 279 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…8f90backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 398$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…1333backed Astralis | 15c | 395.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Astralis | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Astralis | 33c | 379.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 378.52$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 419 | 60.9%255 W · 164 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Astralis | 24c | 376.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 351.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Astralis | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 349.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 348.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…19dfbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 343.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Astralis | 48c | 318.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Astralis | 63c | 311.81$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Astralis | 37c | 306.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Astralis | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Astralis | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Astralis | 50c | 297.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 296.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.09 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Astralis | 61c | 293.52$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 292.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…e6d7backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 286$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 285.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7f…0040backed Astralis | 52c | 282.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8770…bc69backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis | 38c | 277.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 276.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 258.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Astralis | 59c | 257.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…ca12backed Astralis | 39c | 256$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.