Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7281ab976be72aff46e50ce9b675fce8d66fd2a32602398c88349e7c7dd1212d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Vitality | 33c | 4,344$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.11 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Fnatic | 73c | 4,139$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Vitality | 39c | 3,958$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.27 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Fnatic | 50c | 3,560$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.9 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality | 43c | 1,711$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.2 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Fnatic | 58c | 1,600$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Fnatic | 77c | 1,420$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Fnatic | 57c | 1,412$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality | 34c | 1,392$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.11 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fnatic | 60c | 1,310$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.43 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Vitality | 21c | 1,282$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.2 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fnatic | 61c | 1,008$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.09 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Vitality | 39c | 982$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.58 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Vitality | 31c | 968$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Fnatic | 59c | 845.03$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.43 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Fnatic | 54c | 777.36$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fnatic | 65c | 770.82$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Fnatic | 67c | 659.16$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Fnatic | 73c | 592$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Team Vitality | 51c | 543.48$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Team Vitality | 46c | 523.24$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…1c63backed Fnatic | 56c | 482.14$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Team Vitality | 55c | 443.64$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Vitality | 34c | 412.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Vitality | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Vitality | 15c | 276.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Fnatic | 73c | 264.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Team Vitality | 41c | 242.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Team Vitality | 45c | 227.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Fnatic | 59c | 222$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Vitality | 47c | 211.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked Team Vitality | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Team Vitality | 29c | 190.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Vitality | 45c | 180.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Team Vitality | 38c | 159.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Vitality | 48c | 158.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fnatic | 55c | 145.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Team Vitality | 45c | 110.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Vitality | 43c | 106.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Team Vitality | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Vitality | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Vitality | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fnatic | 69c | 94.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Vitality | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…0ff8backed Fnatic | 56c | 75.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Team Vitality | 48c | 71.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Fnatic | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Fnatic | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Vitality | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Team Vitality | 45c | 68.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Vitality | 28c | 62.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…62d4backed Team Vitality | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Vitality | 35c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed Team Vitality | 33c | 46.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Fnatic | 61c | 45.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Fnatic | 71c | 39.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…efd9backed Team Vitality | 38c | 37.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Fnatic | 61c | 30.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Vitality | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…70f8backed Fnatic | 78c | 28.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…74e0backed Fnatic | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Fnatic | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Fnatic | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.