Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd987e1ab3a75d633ce2001b0e2b1d2ad960232bf33edadb166d050a1a5ef3b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Vitality | 0c | 3,697$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Vitality | 8c | 1,599$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fnatic | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality | 40c | 933.09$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.91 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Fnatic | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Team Vitality | 17c | 659.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fnatic | 66c | 534.17$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Fnatic | 78c | 440$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Team Vitality | 23c | 413.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Team Vitality | 19c | 386.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Vitality | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality | 33c | 272.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…1c63backed Fnatic | 70c | 270.27$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed Fnatic | 52c | 232.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Team Vitality | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Vitality | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Fnatic | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…4619backed Fnatic | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…78a0backed Team Vitality | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Vitality | 19c | 138.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Vitality | 35c | 134.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Team Vitality | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fnatic | 80c | 118.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Fnatic | 46c | 109.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Vitality | 33c | 99.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Vitality | 17c | 73.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…7067backed Team Vitality | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed Team Vitality | 33c | 44.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Vitality | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Vitality | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Fnatic | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Fnatic | 63c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.