Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe87098aba733a39a8daad1e9629693b705e4417f2c85f4704220c07d230fff

Rebuilt 10 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $141,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,027 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0775…b0c5backed Under	44c	57,538$25,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,325.81	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	56c	20,749$11,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,107.88	261	44.1%115 W · 146 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under	56c	15,933$8,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,010.3	311	53.4%166 W · 145 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over	57c	13,972$7,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,974.59	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over	57c	13,525$7,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,709.33	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over	45c	12,000$5,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,429.99	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	57c	3,333$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	175	37.1%65 W · 110 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Under	54c	2,000$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.2	616	45.3%279 W · 337 L	+36.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under	57c	1,949$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.12	595	48.2%287 W · 308 L	+15.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under	42c	1,382$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.51	158	29.1%46 W · 112 L	-12.8wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	44c	1,087$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.73	183	50.8%93 W · 90 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	52c	863.86$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.48	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under	43c	762$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.34	397	49.1%195 W · 202 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over	56c	700.71$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.4	440	47.5%209 W · 231 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under	62c	641.87$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.57	148	52%77 W · 71 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under	40c	599.93$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.96	2,178	53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L	+61.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over	53c	565.95$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	149	35.6%53 W · 96 L	-12.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under	56c	411.99$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.8	756	49.6%375 W · 381 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Over	57c	399.99$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	1,520	3.3%50 W · 1,470 L	-54.0wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under	43c	395.48$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.44	183	47%86 W · 97 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over	57c	348.72$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over	59c	324.95$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.52	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	57c	252.42$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.88	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under	43c	235.98$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.51	857	46.3%397 W · 460 L	+17.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Under	43c	230.17$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.83	398	32.7%130 W · 268 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Under	44c	227.61$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.61	303	60.7%184 W · 119 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Under	41c	205$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.95	124	50%62 W · 62 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under	44c	204.55$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.55	541	29.9%162 W · 379 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over	59c	198.93$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.01	117	42.7%50 W · 67 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Over	32c	165.94$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.29	135	25.2%34 W · 101 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked Over	59c	164.41$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	572	44.6%255 W · 317 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over	40c	162.5$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	244	35.7%87 W · 157 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	229	30.6%70 W · 159 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Under	54c	142.47$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.47	202	45%91 W · 111 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Over	40c	127.25$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	40c	124.98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.99	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	34c	124$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	2,330	39.4%919 W · 1,411 L	-83.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Over	57c	119.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.39	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under	43c	119.42$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.07	108	23.1%25 W · 83 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Under	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Under	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	138	57.2%79 W · 59 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc97e…ea6fbacked Over	59c	95.57$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.29	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Under	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	762	46.9%357 W · 405 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Over	33c	90.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	593	41.8%248 W · 345 L	-16.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe445…aef4backed Over	57c	90$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0814…875abacked Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	300	57.7%173 W · 127 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over	54c	83.05$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	59c	81.46$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Over	59c	78.06$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.98	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under	43c	70$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.9	1,241	34.7%431 W · 810 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	923	54.3%501 W · 422 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4243…62d4backed Over	58c	63.39$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf4…3f9bbacked Under	56c	53.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.9	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9ca5backed Under	43c	52.96$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.27	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+37%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Under	57c	52.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.82	244	53.3%130 W · 114 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	447	38%170 W · 277 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+5.4wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	539	54.7%295 W · 244 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9a…332bbacked Under	46c	49.67$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under	43c	48.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.92	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over	58c	45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.05	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Over	60c	44.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.72	81	56.8%46 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a36…74b8backed Over	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under	56c	38.2$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae6e…b24fbacked Under	76c	35.17$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Over	58c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0758…48d8backed Under	43c	34.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.88	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43bc…ec11backed Over	58c	34.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	85.7%18 W · 3 L	+3.7wins	+0.18per pick	68cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3ddebacked Under	42c	33.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over	47c	30.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	242	51.7%125 W · 117 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Under	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	576	55.9%322 W · 254 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under	43c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	51cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1213…5ed6backed Over	58c	29.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	65c	27.8$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	1,730	29.5%510 W · 1,220 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed Under	54c	26.78$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.32	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabd…54fcbacked Over	58c	25.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Over	59c	25.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	225	48%108 W · 117 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ce…8945backed Under	57c	21.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Anyone's Legend won
First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Anyone's Legend won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsAnyone's Legend won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event