TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Massachusetts Minutemenof Boston College Eagles, Massachusetts Minutemen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Boston College Eagles53c12,576$6,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,651.262,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Massachusetts Minutemen40c10,029$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,028.6735151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Massachusetts Minutemen65c7,800$5,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.0511662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boston College Eagles47c7,673$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Massachusetts Minutemen51c6,500$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18528539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5005944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…58a6backed Massachusetts Minutemen52c3,290$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen62c2,994$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.42,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston College Eagles32c2,610$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.81,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Massachusetts Minutemen80c2,456$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.17887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Boston College Eagles34c2,346$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.3515939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Boston College Eagles35c2,301$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Massachusetts Minutemen50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Boston College Eagles25c1,735$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.883046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Boston College Eagles52c1,521$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7851330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Boston College Eagles50c1,467$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Boston College Eagles52c1,246$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.0715442.9%66 W · 88 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ea…e3e3backed Boston College Eagles25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250180%0 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Boston College Eagles35c967.6$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6669142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston College Eagles52c899.99$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Boston College Eagles10c798.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3210447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Boston College Eagles47c788.26$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.487145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Boston College Eagles50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.71154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Boston College Eagles50c632.86$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4332337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Boston College Eagles14c607.82$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Boston College Eagles52c558.55$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1219153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen42c545$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.14,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Boston College Eagles3c503.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Massachusetts Minutemen43c461$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.775942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Massachusetts Minutemen62c413.43$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0410757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Massachusetts Minutemen47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Massachusetts Minutemen52c381.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Massachusetts Minutemen59c360.92$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Massachusetts Minutemen33c355$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.511542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Boston College Eagles26c329.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.113,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071e…0d11backed Massachusetts Minutemen25c326.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.951145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Boston College Eagles54c310$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.412245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen47c299.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9929444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Boston College Eagles39c284.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11021830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Boston College Eagles52c276.09$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.335662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen70c251$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.761,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Massachusetts Minutemen42c235$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.36451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Massachusetts Minutemen22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.2723941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen42c227$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.668252.4%43 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0f…66a1backed Massachusetts Minutemen22c225$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.621030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Boston College Eagles50c210.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.331,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Massachusetts Minutemen69c196.21$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.061,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Massachusetts Minutemen49c166.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston College Eagles47c161$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.285,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Boston College Eagles46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7036535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e79…089bbacked Boston College Eagles49c150.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.141118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Boston College Eagles50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9b…b0b7backed Boston College Eagles62c137.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed Boston College Eagles37c135.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen69c128.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2723158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Massachusetts Minutemen47c116.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a0…d7cabacked Boston College Eagles35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Massachusetts Minutemen57c112.75$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.481,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed Boston College Eagles50c100.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Boston College Eagles53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5312254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816373%46 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Boston College Eagles57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344122%9 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Boston College Eagles14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Boston College Eagles56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Boston College Eagles57c94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.583250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Boston College Eagles58c92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.363148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Boston College Eagles57c91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.872846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Boston College Eagles58c89$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.623871.1%27 W · 11 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4874…6fe9backed Boston College Eagles45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Boston College Eagles57c88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.161963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Massachusetts Minutemen47c82.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.952,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Boston College Eagles41c81.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52185.6%1 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick30cpaid-76%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75f1…907dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen32c79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.724228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Boston College Eagles58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Boston College Eagles68c75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Boston College Eagles56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407452.7%39 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Massachusetts Minutemen44c70$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.26753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Boston College Eagles58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a35…aad5backed Massachusetts Minutemen21c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…532bbacked Boston College Eagles56c57.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Massachusetts Minutemen58c56.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0312840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen46c56.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5352928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.813343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ec…daabbacked Boston College Eagles54c54.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.061957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Massachusetts Minutemen48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Boston College Eagles58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed Massachusetts Minutemen46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf053…92dbbacked Boston College Eagles40c49.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen42c46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.685156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Boston College Eagles58c46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.683748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.23154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.484562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Massachusetts Minutemen48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2e…ae9abacked Massachusetts Minutemen60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Boston College Eagles58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Boston College Eagles58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.765054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3297…a2c5backed Boston College Eagles41c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.