TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbb7…8adc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 62 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.39
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$202.52
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)backed Southampton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+175.8%+$126.79
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$100.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$71.65
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$44.71
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$227.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.23
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33.35
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.43
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$197.1
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$204.21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.8
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.03
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.02
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$24.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.26
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$48.58
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.04
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.89
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.58
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$62.18
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$124.25
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.87
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.39
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.89
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.33
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$39.31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.28
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.08
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$25.66
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.14
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.38
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$8.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-64.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.14
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.8
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.35
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.43
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.94
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+135.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.99
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$40.73
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$30.97
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$190
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.