Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3de272ae96e93ffdb8a683277c0b40bded9abe9bfb81e7e35256927e177ff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 34c | 8,596$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,714.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 53c | 5,144$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 4,534$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.04 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 3,265$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…4039backed No | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 52c | 2,014$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.53 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,961$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.43 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 1,308$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.05 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 1,180$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.09 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 66c | 905.22$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.61 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 898.72$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.28 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 40c | 886.64$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.78 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 45c | 865.17$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.35 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Yes | 48c | 819.6$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.19 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 807.43$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.71 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 53c | 720.72$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 720.59$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.44 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed Yes | 53c | 694.77$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.82 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 35c | 669.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.47 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 46c | 530.08$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.24 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 59c | 499.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 45c | 468.31$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.12 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 48c | 461.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 53c | 429.61$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 47c | 425.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 46c | 409.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 382.08$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 375.25$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 372.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 79c | 367.83$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 299.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.64 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 47c | 295.3$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 287.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.79 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 32c | 209.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 53c | 204.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Yes | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 47c | 198$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Yes | 80c | 197.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 44c | 187.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 183.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 54c | 150.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 67c | 148.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Yes | 54c | 140.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 32c | 136.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 52c | 132.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 123.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 54c | 119.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 54c | 114.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 46c | 107.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 48c | 106.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 35c | 104.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 102.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 47c | 100.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…68a7backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Yes | 47c | 99.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 33c | 95.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 42c | 90.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 80c | 86.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 47c | 72.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 47c | 66.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 55c | 62.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…8adcbacked Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…db25backed Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes | 33c | 60.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 53c | 58.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 24c | 57.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed No | 19c | 54.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 51.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 51.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed No | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 21c | 48.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 35c | 48.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 45c | 45.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Yes | 46c | 44.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 42.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 54c | 42.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…b68fbacked No | 57c | 41.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.