Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d0b83c4d1fb9c266f94a56500799df039dea40781025aff472833a0a48d4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,711$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.34 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 2,270$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.51 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 1,943$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.97 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 1,672$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,252$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 78c | 1,081$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.01 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 78c | 1,012$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 23c | 899.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 870.23$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Yes | 25c | 753.9$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 77c | 646.88$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 78c | 379.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 348.81$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 78c | 348.81$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…d360backed Yes | 28c | 346.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 328.81$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 309.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 77c | 309.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 77c | 309.13$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 77c | 297.51$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 77c | 277.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 77c | 277.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 77c | 277.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 77c | 265.9$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 249.52$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 76c | 204.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 25c | 197.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…735cbacked Yes | 25c | 156.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 141.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 140.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 24c | 139.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 128.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…8955backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 77c | 89.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 87.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6a…18e8backed Yes | 25c | 77.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…9fbdbacked No | 78c | 71.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…b6d7backed Yes | 26c | 43.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 78c | 36.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 76c | 29.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 78c | 28.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed No | 78c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 18.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 75c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.